Pau FC vs Laval Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nouste Camp
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.27
Away Win
3.89
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Pau FC
Laval
Anthony Briançon (Jessy Benet) ⚽
18'
21'
⚽ Mathys Houdayer (Ethan Clavreul)
Axel Bamba 🟨
30'
36'
🟨 Alessio Beaudouin
Babacar Leye (Jeremy Sebas) ⚽
55'
Hacene Benali 🟨
57'
64'
🟨 Mathys Houdayer
Hacene Benali (Mathys Tourraine) ⚽
76'
90'
⚽ Trevis Dago (C. Gourichy)
90+6'
🟥 Julien Maggiotti
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
16
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
5
19
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Pau FC (5-3-2)
B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez
A. Briançon
A. Bamba
A. Abdallah
C. Fall
J. Benet
T. Saettel
H. Benali
B. Leye
Laval (4-3-1-2)
M. Hautbois
E. Mouton
S. Bane
A. Lô
Joseph Samb
S. Sanna
Alessio Beaudouin
J. Gaudin
M. Houdayer
A. Kanté
E. Clavreul
Player Ratings ?
Pau FC
B. LeyeF8.1
H. BenaliF8.1
A. BriançonD8.0
Laval
M. HoudayerM7.6
T. DagoF7.6
M. HautboisG6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pau FC edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Pau FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Laval's away record shows just a solitary win and draw from their last five outings, while Pau FC mirror that exact same tally of one victory and one draw in their home sample over the identical span. Pau FC have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have managed just a single clean sheet in that same period. Pau FC rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while form is closely matched. Pau FC won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 30 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Laval's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Pau FC's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Laval's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Laval
Laval's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Laval win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Pau FC remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pau FC win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
44.8% → 45.7%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 28.1%
+0.4 pts
Laval win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.5% → 26.2%
−1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Pau FC
Draw
Laval
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Pau FCLaval
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
18th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
0.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.14
0.86
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.7
Shots/Game
12.3
4.3
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Pau FC at home (8 matches) vs Laval away (7 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.86
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.14
38%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pau FC
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Laval
Away form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pau FC Wins
3
Draws
1
Laval Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Laval0 – 1Pau FC
Pau FC1 – 0Laval
Pau FC1 – 1Laval
Laval3 – 1Pau FC
Pau FC3 – 0Laval
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pau FCvs
Laval
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 47.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 53.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Pau FC's 10 matches and 3 of Laval's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?