Pau FC vs Grenoble Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nouste Camp
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.88
Draw
3.39
Away Win
4.61
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Pau FC
Grenoble
31'
⚽ Ugo Bonnet (Yvann Macon)
Tom Pouilly 🟨
34'
36'
🟨 Yvann Macon
Bilal Brahimi 🟨
45+3'
Jessy Benet 🟨
59'
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
69'
T. Debès 🟨
74'
74'
🟨 Farouq Limouri
Hacene Benali (Jeremy Sebas) ⚽
77'
Hacene Benali 🟨
85'
86'
🟨 Yohann Magnin
Lorenzo Rajot ⚽
89'
90+2'
🟨 Clement Vidal
Match Statistics ?
68%
Ball Possession
32%
16
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
1
22
Fouls
20
5
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Pau FC (5-3-2)
B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez
A. Briançon
A. Bamba
M. Tourraine
C. Fall
J. Benet
B. Brahimi
H. Benali
Abdoulaye Mbaye
Grenoble (5-3-2)
A. Olliero
Y. Maçon
A. Pelon
C. Vidal
Owen Kouassi
M. Xantippe
S. Diba
Y. Magnin
M. Corboz
U. Bonnet
L. Cerri
Player Ratings ?
Pau FC
H. BenaliF8.2
L. RajotM7.8
J. SebasF7.1
Grenoble
U. BonnetF7.8
Y. MaçonD6.8
L. CerriF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Pau FC
Pau FC rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Pau FC a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pau FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Grenoble have secured two victories in their last five away outings, while Pau FC have recorded two wins and a draw from their most recent five home fixtures. Pau FC have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Pau FC rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 23 January 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Pau FC a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Pau FC remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Pau FC win
Latest market chance 51.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.8% → 51.1%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.8% → 27.6%
+0.8 pts
Grenoble win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.4% → 21.2%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Pau FC
Draw
Grenoble
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Pau FCGrenoble
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
15th
9
Games Played
9
1.56
Points/Game
0.89
1.22
Goals/Game
0.89
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
13.7
Shots/Game
9.7
4.3
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Pau FC at home (8 matches) vs Grenoble away (6 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.17
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.00
38%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Pau FC
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Grenoble
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Pau FC Wins
2
Draws
3
Grenoble Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Pau FC2 – 2Grenoble
Grenoble1 – 1Pau FC
Pau FC1 – 0Grenoble
Grenoble1 – 1Pau FC
Grenoble0 – 1Pau FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Pau FCvs
Grenoble
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 47.5%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 50.0%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Pau FC's 10 matches and 1 of Grenoble's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?