Nantes vs Dunkerque Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de la Beaujoire
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.14
Away Win
5.30
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Nantes
Dunkerque
Kelvin Amian (Wilitty Younoussa) ⚽
29'
35'
🟨 Gaëtan Robail
38'
⚽ Egor Prutsev
43'
⚽ Gaëtan Robail
45+2'
🟨 Adrian Lebeau
59'
⚽ Gaëtan Robail (Souleymane Keita)
Kelvin Amian 🟨
74'
Balthazar Pierret 🟨
82'
84'
🟨 Abner
Ryad Hachem ⚽
90'
Lucas Perrin 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
7
22
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Nantes (3-4-3)
P. Carlgren
S. Sow
L. Perrin
K. Amian
F. Doucouré
J. Lepenant
I. Sissoko
R. Hachem
W. Younoussa
T. Robinet
K. Corredor
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
O. Touré
Abner
J. Morel
Théna Massock
G. Robail
A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev
S. Keita
Player Ratings ?
Nantes
R. HachemM7.4
W. YounoussaF6.9
J. LepenantM6.9
Dunkerque
G. RobailM8.4
E. PrutsevM7.2
S. KeitaF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nantes edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Nantes have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Dunkerque have managed just a single win in their last five away fixtures. At home, Nantes have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets in that identical sample. Nantes rate stronger on form and defence, while attack is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Nantes losing run
57%
Dunkerque yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nantes win
Latest market chance 56.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
56.3% → 56.7%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.8%
−0.1 pts
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 19.5%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nantes
Draw
Dunkerque
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NantesDunkerque
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
12th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.12
Goals/Game
1.25
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.62
13.2
Shots/Game
12.2
3.7
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Nantes at home (6 matches) vs Dunkerque away (5 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
0.80
1.00
Goals/Game
1.20
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
17%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nantes
Home form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dunkerque
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Dunkerque.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nantesvs
Dunkerque
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 53.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Nantes's 10 matches and 2 of Dunkerque's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?