Nantes vs Clermont Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade de la Beaujoire
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.42
Away Win
6.81
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Nantes
Clermont
Frédéric Guilbert (Ryad Hachem) ⚽
15'
Grégory Poirier 🟨
17'
25'
🟨 Vital N'Simba
28'
🟨 Luís Semedo
57'
🟨 David Guion
Fabien Centonze 🟨
68'
71'
⚽ Florian Bianchini (Salomon Sambia)
Balthazar Pierret 🟨
90+2'
90+3'
🟨 Rominigue Kouame
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
4
24
Fouls
21
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Nantes (5-3-2)
P. Carlgren
F. Centonze
F. Guilbert
S. Sow
K. Amian
R. Hachem
W. Younoussa
B. Pierret
J. Lepenant
I. Ganago
K. Corredor
Clermont (5-4-1)
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
I. M'Bahia
Y. Salmier
E. Kabeya
V. N'Simba
R. Kouamé
E. Cantero
J. Sambia
F. Bianchini
Luís Semedo
Player Ratings ?
Nantes
F. GuilbertD7.9
K. AmianD6.8
L. PerrinD6.8
Clermont
F. BianchiniM7.6
J. SambiaM7.4
T. GuivarchG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nantes edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nantes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nantes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Clermont have secured just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Nantes have suffered three defeats in their corresponding home outings. Nantes have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Nantes rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Clermont won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 January 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Nantes's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Nantes losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nantes win
Latest market chance 64.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.1% → 64.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.7% → 21.7%
±0.0 pts
Clermont win
Latest market chance 14.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.2% → 14.2%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nantes
Draw
Clermont
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nantes
Clermont
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
17th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
0.70
1.10
Goals/Game
0.90
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.40
13.2
Shots/Game
7.8
3.7
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
Nantes at home (6 matches) vs Clermont away (5 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
0.80
1.00
Goals/Game
1.40
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.80
17%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nantes
Home form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Clermont
Away form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nantes Wins
2
Draws
2
Clermont Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
2024-01-142023-2024
Nantes1 – 2Clermont
2023-09-172023-2024
Clermont0 – 1Nantes
2023-01-292022-2023
Clermont0 – 0Nantes
2022-10-302022-2023
Nantes1 – 1Clermont
2022-04-032021-2022
Clermont2 – 3Nantes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nantes
vs
Clermont
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
30.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.9%→Latest 51.8%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 47.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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