Nancy vs Sochaux Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Marcel-Picot
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.67
Draw
3.81
Away Win
5.46
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Nancy
Sochaux
Nehemiah Fernandez 🟨
18'
Enzo Tacafred 🟨
19'
Enzo Tacafred 🟥
35'
39'
🟨 Julien Masson
45+3'
🟨 Vincent Hognon
45+4'
🟨 Benjamin Gomel
Jeremy Gelin 🟨
59'
Zakaria Fdaouch (Ilyes Housni) ⚽
74'
90+5'
🟨 Dylan Tavares
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Nancy (4-2-3-1)
E. Basilio
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy
E. Tacafred
J. Gélin
W. Bouabdelli
I. Housni
El Hadari
Z. Fdaouch
P. Meïssa Ba
Sochaux (4-2-3-1)
M. Jeannin
E. N'Gatta
M. Peybernes
D. Gomis
Dylan Tavares
Honoré Bayanginisa
J. Masson
L. Deedson
Y. Demoncy
B. Gomel
L. Nomel
Player Ratings ?
Nancy
Z. FdaouchM7.8
I. HousniM7.7
Y. NahounouD7.3
Sochaux
Honoré BayanginisaNone6.9
E. N'GattaD6.8
V. LobryM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nancy
Nancy rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Sochaux edge head-to-head, giving Nancy a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sochaux stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nancy have enjoyed a spirited run at home with three victories from their last five outings, while Sochaux have struggled away from the ground, managing only two draws and three losses in their recent five matches. At home, Nancy have found the net in four of their last five games yet have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Nancy rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Sochaux rate stronger on head-to-head. Sochaux won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 April 2022, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Nancy's 0, with 4 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Nancy's implied win probability has risen by 5.0 percentage points, while Sochaux's implied win probability has fallen by 4.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nancy a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Nancy
Nancy's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nancy win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nancy win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
50.7% → 55.7%
+5.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 25.4%
−0.7 pts
Sochaux win
Latest market chance 18.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.3% → 18.9%
−4.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nancy
Draw
Sochaux
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nancy
Sochaux
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
13th
11
Games Played
11
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.45
Goals/Game
0.73
0.82
Conceded/Game
1.27
13.9
Shots/Game
11.2
4.2
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Nancy at home (6 matches) vs Sochaux away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nancy
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Sochaux
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nancy Wins
0
Draws
4
Sochaux Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.0
2022-04-092021-2022
Sochaux1 – 0Nancy
2021-10-302021-2022
Nancy0 – 0Sochaux
2021-04-102020-2021
Nancy0 – 0Sochaux
2020-12-052020-2021
Sochaux1 – 1Nancy
2020-02-042019-2020
Nancy1 – 1Sochaux
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nancy
vs
Sochaux
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
72.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
49.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
28.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
50.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 50.3%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 50.7%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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