Nancy vs Laval Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Marcel-Picot
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.31
Away Win
5.88
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Nancy
Laval
25'
🟨 Esteban Mouton
26'
🟨 Teddy Bouriaud
26'
🟨 William Bianda
28'
🟨 Trevis Dago
53'
🟨 David Vignes
Zakaria Fdaouch (Ilyes Housni) ⚽
68'
79'
🟨 Chafik Gourichy
Chafik El Hansar 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Nancy (4-2-3-1)
E. Basilio
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy
E. Tacafred
J. Gélin
W. Bouabdelli
I. Housni
N. Kandil
El Hadari
P. Meïssa Ba
Laval (4-3-1-2)
M. Hautbois
E. Mouton
S. Bane
W. Bianda
Layousse Samb
S. Sanna
T. Bouriaud
Chafik Gourichy
M. Houdayer
T. Dago
E. Clavreul
Player Ratings ?
Nancy
I. HousniM7.7
Z. FdaouchF7.6
Y. NahounouD7.5
Laval
W. BiandaD6.9
M. HautboisG6.7
Alessio BeaudouinNone6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nancy
Nancy rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Nancy a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nancy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nancy have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Laval have managed just a solitary draw across their corresponding away fixture sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have kept just two clean sheets in that same span. Nancy rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 27 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Nancy's implied win probability has risen by 6.3 percentage points, while Laval's implied win probability has fallen by 4.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nancy a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Laval losing run
1
Laval points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Nancy
Nancy's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nancy win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nancy win
Latest market chance 60.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.2% → 60.5%
+6.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 22.2%
−2.3 pts
Laval win
Latest market chance 17.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
21.3% → 17.3%
−4.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+6.5+3.250−3.25Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21Oct 23
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nancy
Draw
Laval
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nancy
Laval
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
18th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
0.67
1.22
Goals/Game
1.44
0.89
Conceded/Game
2.22
13.9
Shots/Game
12.3
4.2
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Nancy at home (6 matches) vs Laval away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.86
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.14
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nancy
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Laval
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nancy Wins
2
Draws
2
Laval Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
2026-02-272025-2026
Laval1 – 1Nancy
2025-11-072025-2026
Nancy0 – 2Laval
2016-01-082015-2016
Nancy1 – 0Laval
2015-08-072015-2016
Laval0 – 1Nancy
2015-03-062014-2015
Nancy1 – 1Laval
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nancy
vs
Laval
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 55.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21Oct 23
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.2%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Nancy's 10 matches and 1 of Laval's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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