Montpellier vs Grenoble Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de la Mosson
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
3.89
Away Win
5.79
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Montpellier
Grenoble
4'
🟨 Yohann Magnin
Nicolas Pays ⚽
33'
Julien Laporte 🟨
43'
Nordan Mukiele 🟨
65'
Alpha Sissoko 🟨
72'
85'
🟨 farouq limouri
87'
🟨 Mael Corboz
87'
🟨 Baptiste Mouazan
Mamadou Camara (Daryll Benlahlou) ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
19
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Montpellier (4-2-3-1)
S. Ngapandouetnbu
A. Sissoko
J. Laporte
D. Meddah
T. Sainte-Luce
N. Vidal-Cartoux
F. Tardieu
N. Pays
T. Chennahi
N. Mukiele
M. Camara
Grenoble (4-1-4-1)
A. Olliero
Y. Maçon
A. Pelon
C. Vidal
M. Xantippe
Y. Magnin
N. Zahui
S. Diba
M. Corboz
B. Mouazan
U. Bonnet
Player Ratings ?
Montpellier
S. NgapandouetnbuG8.5
N. PaysM8.2
M. CamaraF7.9
Grenoble
M. CorbozM6.8
U. BonnetF6.6
A. PelonD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Montpellier edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montpellier slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Grenoble have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, whereas Montpellier have managed two victories and two draws in their last five home fixtures. Montpellier have found the net in four of their last five matches at home while also keeping two clean sheets in that same span. Montpellier rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. Montpellier won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Grenoble's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Montpellier's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Grenoble's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Montpellier
Montpellier's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Montpellier win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montpellier win
Latest market chance 58.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
57.4% → 58.3%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.7%
−0.2 pts
Grenoble win
Latest market chance 17.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.7% → 17.0%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Montpellier
Draw
Grenoble
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontpellierGrenoble
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
1.14
0.86
Goals/Game
1.14
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.57
13.8
Shots/Game
9.7
5.0
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Montpellier at home (7 matches) vs Grenoble away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.43
Goals/Game
1.17
0.86
Conceded/Game
2.00
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montpellier
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Grenoble
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montpellier Wins
3
Draws
1
Grenoble Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Montpellier2 – 1Grenoble
Grenoble1 – 1Montpellier
Montpellier1 – 0Grenoble
Grenoble2 – 3Montpellier
Montpellier0 – 1Grenoble
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montpelliervs
Grenoble
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.9%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 47.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Montpellier's 10 matches and 3 of Grenoble's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?