Metz vs Sochaux Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.83
Away Win
4.74
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Metz
Sochaux
Saad Agouzoul ⚽ (OG)
10'
Giorgi Abuashvili (Bouna Sarr) ⚽
28'
46'
⚽ Benjamin Gomel (Bakary Diawara)
Teji Savanier 🟨
48'
61'
🟨 Benjamin Gomel
Teji Savanier ⚽
77'
90+2'
⚽ Louicius Deedson (Samy Baghdadi)
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Metz (3-1-4-2)
J. Fischer
C. Devenish
J. Ruiz
U. Mboula
I. Mohamed
B. Sarr
J. Deminguet
T. Savanier
G. Abuashvili
Abdourahmane Mbodj
P. Fall
Sochaux (4-2-3-1)
M. Jeannin
E. N'Gatta
M. Peybernes
S. Agouzoul
D. Gomis
B. Diawara
J. Masson
L. Nomel
Y. Demoncy
B. Gomel
K. Djoco
Player Ratings ?
Metz
T. SavanierM8.0
G. AbuashviliM7.2
U. MboulaD7.0
Sochaux
B. GomelM7.9
L. DeedsonF7.7
B. DiawaraM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Metz edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Sochaux edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Metz slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Metz stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sochaux stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Metz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sochaux have drawn four of their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Metz remain unbeaten in their home outings with two victories from five matches. Metz have scored in all five of their recent home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Metz rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Sochaux rate stronger on defence. Metz won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 26 May 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Sochaux's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Metz's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Sochaux's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Metz
Metz's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Metz win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Metz win
Latest market chance 53.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
51.1% → 53.2%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.0%
−0.3 pts
Sochaux win
Latest market chance 20.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.6% → 20.7%
−1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Metz
Draw
Sochaux
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MetzSochaux
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.25
Points/Game
1.38
1.50
Goals/Game
0.62
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.75
13.6
Shots/Game
11.2
4.4
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Metz at home (6 matches) vs Sochaux away (8 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.50
2.17
Goals/Game
0.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Metz
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sochaux
Away form
L
D
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Metz Wins
3
Draws
2
Sochaux Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.4
Sochaux0 – 1Metz
Metz0 – 0Sochaux
Metz1 – 1Sochaux
Sochaux1 – 2Metz
Metz1 – 0Sochaux
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Metzvs
Sochaux
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 51.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.6%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Metz's 10 matches and 2 of Sochaux's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?