Laval vs Clermont Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Francis-Le Basser
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.24
Away Win
3.59
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Laval
Clermont
25'
⚽ Christ Okou (Enzo Cantero)
36'
🟨 Ivan M'Bahia
38'
⚽ Florian Bianchini (Christ Okou)
46'
⚽ (OG) Jules Gaudin
Aboubakary Kante (Amine Moussaoui) ⚽
72'
Sidi Bane ⚽
90'
Aboubakary Kante ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
19
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Laval (4-3-1-2)
M. Hautbois
E. Mouton
S. Bane
A. Lô
W. Bianda
S. Sanna
T. Bouriaud
J. Gaudin
M. Houdayer
T. Dago
C. Gourichy
Clermont (4-1-4-1)
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
Y. Salmier
A. Pelmard
I. M'Bahia
F. Bianchini
E. Cantero
R. Kouamé
A. Ackra
E. Koné
C. Okou
Player Ratings ?
Laval
A. KantéF9.0
S. BaneD7.5
A. MoussaouiF7.1
Clermont
C. OkouF8.3
F. BianchiniM8.2
E. CanteroM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Laval edge attack, Clermont edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Laval stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Clermont have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings across seasons, while Laval have secured two wins in their corresponding home sample of five matches. Laval have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period, conceding in every game at this venue. Clermont rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Laval rate stronger on attack. Clermont won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 3 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Laval's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Laval win
Latest market chance 43.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.3% → 43.8%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.1% → 28.6%
−0.5 pts
Clermont win
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Laval
Draw
Clermont
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Laval
Clermont
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
17th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
0.75
1.25
Goals/Game
0.75
2.12
Conceded/Game
1.12
12.3
Shots/Game
7.8
4.0
Shots on Target
2.5
Home vs Away Context
Laval at home (6 matches) vs Clermont away (5 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.80
1.33
Goals/Game
1.40
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.80
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Laval
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Clermont
Away form
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Laval Wins
0
Draws
3
Clermont Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-01-032025-2026
Clermont4 – 1Laval
2025-08-292025-2026
Laval0 – 0Clermont
2025-01-182024-2025
Clermont1 – 1Laval
2024-10-292024-2025
Laval1 – 2Clermont
2017-03-032016-2017
Clermont1 – 1Laval
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Laval
vs
Clermont
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
46.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
51.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.2%→Latest 46.5%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 51.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Laval's 10 matches and 2 of Clermont's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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