Guingamp vs St Etienne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de Roudourou
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.02
Draw
3.75
Away Win
1.89
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Guingamp
St Etienne
29'
🟨 João Ferreira
Stanislas Kielt (Samir Ben Brahim) ⚽
37'
Teddy Andami Averlant (Donacien Gomis) ⚽
50'
64'
🟨 Zuriko Davitashvili
Jérémie Matumona Makanga 🟨
70'
Tanguy Ahile 🟨
80'
Amadou Samoura (Tanguy Ahile) ⚽
85'
90+5'
🟨 Mahmoud Jaber
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
11
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
11
5
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Adrián Ortolá
J. Matumona
D. Gomis
A. Demouchy
T. Ollila
T. Averlant
D. Louiserre
T. Ducrocq
S. Ben Brahim
S. Kielt
A. Hemia
St Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Mamour Ndiaye
K. Pedro
J. Le Cardinal
S. Nair
João Ferreira
M. Bernauer
Á. Csongvai
A. Boakye
J. Breum
Z. Davitashvili
T. Ballo
Player Ratings ?
Guingamp
T. AverlantM7.8
S. KieltF7.8
S. Ben BrahimM7.5
St Etienne
J. Le CardinalD7.2
B. OldF7.2
I. CardonaF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St Etienne
St Etienne rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving St Etienne a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Etienne have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures, while Guingamp have managed just two wins in that same span of five home matches. Guingamp have scored in all five of their recent home outings but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. St Etienne rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. St Etienne won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Guingamp's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives St Etienne a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St Etienne unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. St Etienne remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Guingamp win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.9%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.4% → 25.5%
−0.9 pts
St Etienne win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.4% → 49.7%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Guingamp
Draw
St Etienne
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GuingampSt Etienne
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
1st
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
2.50
1.30
Goals/Game
2.30
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.80
13.7
Shots/Game
14.4
5.2
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Guingamp at home (6 matches) vs St Etienne away (6 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.67
1.83
Goals/Game
1.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Guingamp
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Etienne
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Guingamp Wins
2
Draws
1
St Etienne Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
Guingamp1 – 2St Etienne
St Etienne2 – 3Guingamp
Guingamp2 – 2St Etienne
St Etienne1 – 3Guingamp
St Etienne3 – 2Guingamp
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Guingampvs
St Etienne
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.9%→Latest 55.3%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 57.4%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?