Grenoble vs Boulogne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade des Alpes
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.77
Draw
3.13
Away Win
2.75
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Grenoble
Boulogne
Matthéo Xantippe 🟨
14'
41'
🟨 Nolan Binet
Lucas Bernadou 🟨
45+2'
63'
🟨 Adrien Pinot
79'
⚽ Nolan Binet (Mohamed Soumah)
90+2'
⚽ Abdel Hbouch (Benjamin Besic)
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
7
17
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Grenoble (4-1-4-1)
A. Olliero
N. Zahui
A. Pelon
C. Vidal
M. Xantippe
M. Corboz
Y. Maçon
S. Diba
L. Bernadou
B. Mouazan
L. Cerri
Boulogne (3-1-4-2)
Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
D. Thiam
A. Kerriou
A. Pinot
J. Martin
N. Fatar
J. Bultel
N. Binet
J. Boyer
A. Hbouch
T. Epailly
Player Ratings ?
Grenoble
A. OllieroG7.3
C. VidalD6.9
L. CerriF6.8
Boulogne
A. HbouchF8.2
D. ThiamD8.0
N. BinetM7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Grenoble edge recent form, Boulogne edge defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Grenoble stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Boulogne stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boulogne stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Boulogne have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Grenoble have managed a win alongside three draws from their five home matches during this period. Grenoble have scored in four of their last five home fixtures and kept two clean sheets within that same sample. Grenoble rate stronger on form, while Boulogne rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 27 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Grenoble's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Boulogne's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
52%
Boulogne yellow cards after 75'
3
Boulogne points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Boulogne
Boulogne's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boulogne win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Grenoble remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Grenoble win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.1% → 34.9%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 30.4%
+0.2 pts
Boulogne win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.8% → 34.7%
−2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Grenoble
Draw
Boulogne
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GrenobleBoulogne
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.62
Conceded/Game
0.75
9.7
Shots/Game
11.8
2.9
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Grenoble at home (6 matches) vs Boulogne away (6 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.50
17%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Grenoble
Home form
D
W
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Boulogne
Away form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Grenoble Wins
1
Draws
2
Boulogne Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Grenoble0 – 0Boulogne
Boulogne3 – 1Grenoble
Grenoble2 – 2Boulogne
Boulogne2 – 0Grenoble
Grenoble2 – 0Boulogne
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Grenoblevs
Boulogne
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.7%→Latest 40.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.1%→Latest 48.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Grenoble's 10 matches and 2 of Boulogne's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?