Dunkerque vs Metz Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Marcel Tribut
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.83
Draw
3.63
Away Win
2.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Dunkerque
Metz
9'
⚽ Pape Moussa Fall
15'
🟨 Abdourahmane Mbodj
Jordan Morel 🟨
49'
Jordan Morel 🟥
61'
Opa Sangante •
65'
Opa Sangante ⚽
65'
90'
🟨 Cristian Castro
Arthylio Nade 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
9
2
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
8
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
O. Touré
Abner
J. Morel
Théna Massock
S. Keita
A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev
G. Robail
Metz (4-1-4-1)
J. Fischer
B. Sarr
C. Devenish
U. Mboula
F. Miguel
I. Mohamed
Abdourahmane Mbodj
J. Deminguet
T. Savanier
G. Abuashvili
P. Fall
Player Ratings ?
Dunkerque
Moha AiramG8.3
Opa SangantéD7.8
K. AyariF7.2
Metz
P. FallF8.2
J. FischerG7.2
T. SavanierM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dunkerque edge defence, Metz edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Metz stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Metz slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dunkerque slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Metz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Metz have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Dunkerque have secured two wins in that same number of home outings. Dunkerque have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Metz rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while Dunkerque hold a slight advantage in defence. Metz won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 15 March 2025, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Dunkerque's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.1% → 34.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.4%
±0.0 pts
Metz win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.5% → 39.5%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dunkerque
Draw
Metz
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunkerqueMetz
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.44
1.44
Goals/Game
1.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.44
12.2
Shots/Game
13.6
3.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Dunkerque at home (7 matches) vs Metz away (6 matches)
1.57
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
43%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dunkerque
Home form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Metz
Away form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunkerque Wins
0
Draws
0
Metz Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.5
Dunkerque2 – 3Metz
Metz2 – 0Dunkerque
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunkerquevs
Metz
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 60.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Dunkerque's 10 matches and 1 of Metz's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?