Dunkerque vs Guingamp Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Marcel Tribut
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.87
Draw
3.60
Away Win
2.41
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Jordan Morel (Egor Prutsev) ⚽
17'
59'
🟨 Brandon Bokangu
Souleymane Keita (Gaëtan Robail) ⚽
66'
Khalil Ayari (Adrian Lebeau) ⚽
72'
74'
🟨 Albin Demouchy
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
1
15
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
O. Touré
V. Mayela
J. Morel
S. Nzonzi
K. Ayari
A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev
G. Robail
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Adrián Ortolá
J. Matumona
D. Gomis
A. Demouchy
T. Ollila
T. Averlant
D. Louiserre
T. Ducrocq
S. Ben Brahim
B. Bokangu
A. Hemia
Player Ratings ?
Dunkerque
J. MorelM8.2
S. KeitaM8.0
A. LebeauM7.7
Guingamp
T. AhileM6.9
G. OttF6.8
A. SamouraF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Guingamp edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Guingamp stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Guingamp stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Guingamp slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Guingamp stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Guingamp have recorded just one victory and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Dunkerque have managed one win with two draws in their corresponding home sample of five matches. Dunkerque have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have kept no clean sheets during that same recent run. Guingamp rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 6 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Dunkerque's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Guingamp's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Guingamp losing run
52%
Dunkerque yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Dunkerque
Dunkerque's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Dunkerque win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Guingamp remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 34.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.7% → 34.2%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.8%
+0.7 pts
Guingamp win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
38.2% → 39.0%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dunkerque
Draw
Guingamp
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunkerqueGuingamp
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
9th
11
Games Played
11
1.09
Points/Game
1.27
1.27
Goals/Game
1.45
1.55
Conceded/Game
1.36
12.2
Shots/Game
13.7
3.7
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Dunkerque at home (7 matches) vs Guingamp away (6 matches)
1.57
Points/Game
0.67
1.57
Goals/Game
0.83
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
43%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dunkerque
Home form
L
D
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Guingamp
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunkerque Wins
1
Draws
2
Guingamp Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Dunkerque0 – 0Guingamp
Guingamp2 – 1Dunkerque
Dunkerque3 – 1Guingamp
Guingamp1 – 1Dunkerque
Dunkerque0 – 1Guingamp
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunkerquevs
Guingamp
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 57.1%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.4%→Latest 61.2%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?