Dijon vs Rodez Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.91
Away Win
3.46
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Dijon
Rodez
2'
⚽ Antonin Cartillier
Yanis Barka (Boubacar Diallo) ⚽
23'
39'
🟨 Raphael Lipinski
Boubacar Diallo 🟨
55'
88'
🟨 Ryan Ponti
90+2'
⚽ Marco Essimi (Kenny Nagera)
Match Statistics ?
72%
Ball Possession
28%
18
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
6
10
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
20
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
6
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Dijon (4-1-3-2)
P. Delecroix
L. Lacroix
W. Diouf
Q. Bernard
Boubacar Diallo
J. Marié
Samy Chouchane
A. Lembezat
B. Ndezi
A. Lago
Y. Barka
Rodez (5-3-2)
Q. Braat
S. Luyambula Biwa
L. Quenabio
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Ponti
Antonin Cartillier
D. Pavlović
O. Joly
N. Nsingi
K. Nsona
Player Ratings ?
Dijon
Y. BarkaF7.6
Samy ChouchaneNone7.0
W. DioufD7.0
Rodez
M. Essimi AtebaF7.8
Antonin CartillierM7.7
K. NageraF7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dijon edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dijon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dijon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rodez have recorded two wins from their last five away fixtures, while Dijon have also secured two victories across their last five home matches. Dijon have scored in four of their last five home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same outings. Dijon rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Dijon won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 April 2023, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Rodez's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Dijon's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Rodez's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Dijon
Dijon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dijon win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dijon win
Latest market chance 46.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
43.9% → 46.5%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 24.3%
−0.5 pts
Rodez win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.3% → 29.3%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dijon
Draw
Rodez
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DijonRodez
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
17th
9
Games Played
9
1.33
Points/Game
0.78
1.78
Goals/Game
1.56
1.78
Conceded/Game
2.33
13.9
Shots/Game
14.4
5.2
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Dijon at home (6 matches) vs Rodez away (7 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.86
1.83
Goals/Game
1.14
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.86
50%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dijon
Home form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rodez
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dijon Wins
2
Draws
1
Rodez Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Dijon1 – 0Rodez
Rodez2 – 1Dijon
Rodez0 – 2Dijon
Dijon1 – 1Rodez
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dijonvs
Rodez
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 62.4%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 62.2%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Dijon's 10 matches and 1 of Rodez's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?