Dijon vs Red Star Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.62
Draw
3.51
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Dijon
Red Star
71'
🟨 Godson Kyeremeh
Yanis Barka (Moussa Faty) ⚽
72'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Goal
0
4
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Dijon (4-1-3-2)
P. Delecroix
I. Bouleghcha
W. Diouf
L. Lacroix
M. Faty
J. Marié
P. Bellon
A. Lembezat
B. Ndezi
Júlio Tavares
A. Lago
Red Star (4-2-3-1)
G. Poussin
T. Magnin
D. Durivaux
B. Danger
Leonardo Buta
I. Halifa
S. Renel
K. Cissé
Idrissa Sabaly
D. Durand
K. Cabral
Player Ratings ?
Dijon
Y. BarkaF7.5
W. DioufD7.4
M. FatyD7.0
Red Star
D. DurivauxD7.2
Leonardo ButaD6.8
T. MagninD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dijon edge recent form and attack, Red Star edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Red Star have secured three victories from their last five away outings, whereas Dijon have managed just two wins in that same span at home. Dijon have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that identical run. Dijon hold a slight advantage in form and attack, while Red Star rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2016. Over the 4-day comparison window, Dijon's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Red Star's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Dijon
Dijon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dijon win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dijon win
Latest market chance 36.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
35.8% → 36.8%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.5%
−0.4 pts
Red Star win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.3% → 36.7%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dijon
Draw
Red Star
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DijonRed Star
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
6th
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
1.55
1.82
Goals/Game
1.27
1.73
Conceded/Game
1.45
13.9
Shots/Game
13.4
5.2
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Dijon at home (6 matches) vs Red Star away (8 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.62
1.83
Goals/Game
1.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dijon
Home form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Red Star
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dijon Wins
0
Draws
1
Red Star Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Red Star3 – 2Dijon
Dijon0 – 0Red Star
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dijonvs
Red Star
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 59.2%+4.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 62.5%+3.9 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?