Clermont vs Rodez Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.14
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.31
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Clermont
Rodez
Ivan M'Bahia 🟨
24'
Adrien Hunou 🟨
27'
Maïdine Douane 🟨
40'
43'
🟨 Steven Luyambula Biwa
54'
🟨 Jordan Mendes
59'
🟨 Mathis Saka
Vital N'Simba 🟨
60'
60'
🟨 Kenny Nagera
Florian Bianchini (Vital N'Simba) ⚽
76'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Clermont (3-4-3)
T. Guivarch
I. M'Bahia
Y. Salmier
E. Kabeya
I. Coulibaly
R. Kouamé
J. Sambia
V. N'Simba
A. Hunou
F. Bianchini
M. Douane
Rodez (5-3-2)
Q. Braat
S. Luyambula Biwa
L. Quenabio
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Ponti
Antonin Cartillier
J. Mendes
M. Saka
K. Nagera
K. Nsona
Player Ratings ?
Clermont
F. BianchiniF8.1
T. GuivarchG7.2
I. M'BahiaD7.2
Rodez
M. MagninD6.9
Antonin CartillierM6.8
Q. BraatG6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Clermont edge defence, Rodez edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Clermont slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rodez have secured two victories from their last five away outings, while Clermont have managed just a solitary win in that same span at home. Clermont have found the net in two of their last five home matches and also kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Rodez rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Clermont hold a slight advantage in defence. Rodez won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 13 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Clermont's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Rodez losing run
3
Clermont points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Clermont win
Latest market chance 30.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.3% → 30.8%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.6%
+0.1 pts
Rodez win
Latest market chance 41.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.2% → 41.6%
−0.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 1Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Clermont
Draw
Rodez
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Clermont
Rodez
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
13th
11
Games Played
11
0.73
Points/Game
1.18
0.91
Goals/Game
1.55
1.36
Conceded/Game
2.00
7.8
Shots/Game
14.4
2.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Clermont at home (8 matches) vs Rodez away (7 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.86
0.62
Goals/Game
1.14
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.86
25%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Clermont
Home form
D
D
L
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Rodez
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Clermont Wins
2
Draws
2
Rodez Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-11-062026-2027
Clermont1 – 0Rodez
2026-02-132025-2026
Clermont1 – 2Rodez
2025-09-192025-2026
Rodez0 – 1Clermont
2025-05-102024-2025
Rodez1 – 1Clermont
2024-12-132024-2025
Clermont1 – 1Rodez
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Clermont
vs
Rodez
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.00
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
30.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 53.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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