Clermont vs Guingamp Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.08
Draw
3.25
Away Win
2.46
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Clermont
Guingamp
David Guion 🟨
19'
24'
⚽ Samir Ben Brahim (Stanislas Kielt)
29'
⚽ Samir Ben Brahim (Amine Hemia)
31'
🟨 Jérémie Matumona Makanga
35'
🟨 Tom Ducrocq
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
9
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
7
2
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Clermont (4-3-3)
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
Y. Salmier
A. Pelmard
V. N'Simba
R. Kouamé
I. M'Bahia
A. Ackra
E. Cantero
C. Okou
F. Bianchini
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Adrián Ortolá
E. Koffi
D. Gomis
A. Demouchy
J. Matumona
T. Averlant
D. Louiserre
T. Ducrocq
S. Ben Brahim
S. Kielt
A. Hemia
Player Ratings ?
Clermont
T. GuivarchG7.3
V. N'SimbaD6.9
Y. SalmierD6.8
Guingamp
S. Ben BrahimM9.7
E. KoffiD7.9
A. DemouchyD7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Clermont edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Guingamp edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Guingamp stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Clermont stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Guingamp have recorded just a single draw in their last five away outings, while Clermont have drawn four of their last five home matches. Clermont have scored in two of their last five home matches and kept three clean sheets during that same span. Clermont rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Guingamp rate stronger on attack. Clermont won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Guingamp's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Clermont win
Latest market chance 31.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.0%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.9%
+0.2 pts
Guingamp win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.6% → 40.2%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Clermont
Draw
Guingamp
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ClermontGuingamp
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
0.89
1.00
Goals/Game
1.22
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
7.8
Shots/Game
13.7
2.5
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Clermont at home (8 matches) vs Guingamp away (6 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.67
0.62
Goals/Game
0.83
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
25%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Clermont
Home form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Guingamp
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Clermont Wins
4
Draws
0
Guingamp Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Clermont1 – 0Guingamp
Guingamp0 – 1Clermont
Guingamp3 – 1Clermont
Clermont4 – 1Guingamp
Guingamp0 – 5Clermont
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Clermontvs
Guingamp
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 50.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.4%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Clermont's 10 matches and 1 of Guingamp's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?