Annecy vs Montpellier Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Parc des Sports d’Annecy
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.03
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.38
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Annecy
Montpellier
Julien Kouadio 🟨
11'
24'
⚽ Laciné Megnan-Pavé (Nicolas Pays)
Laurent Guyot 🟨
35'
Laurent Guyot 🟥
35'
44'
⚽ Nicolas Pays (Laciné Megnan-Pavé)
59'
🟨 Laciné Megnan-Pavé
63'
⚽ Nicolas Pays (Florian Tardieu)
83'
🟨 Théo Chennahi
Match Statistics ?
29%
Ball Possession
71%
21
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
18
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
6
2
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Annecy (4-2-3-1)
F. Escales
T. Delphis
Gabin Secrétant
A. Do Marcolino
J. Kouadio
M. Koné
A. Casadei
A. Larose
M. Sahi
C. Billemaz
T. Rambaud
Montpellier (4-2-3-1)
S. Ngapandouetnbu
Naoufel El Hannach
J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga
Y. Zouaoui
T. Chennahi
D. Meddah
N. Pays
Daryll Benlahlou
Lacine Megnan-Pave
M. Camara
Player Ratings ?
Annecy
T. RambaudF6.8
A. LaroseM6.7
Gabin SecrétantD6.4
Montpellier
N. PaysM9.6
S. NgapandouetnbuG9.6
Lacine Megnan-PaveM8.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Montpellier edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montpellier slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Montpellier have secured three victories and just one defeat in their last five away fixtures, while Annecy have suffered three losses from their last five home outings. Annecy have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed a single clean sheet during that same period. Montpellier rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 10 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 0.5 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Annecy's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points, while Montpellier's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Annecy
Annecy's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Annecy win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Montpellier remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Annecy win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
29.1% → 31.3%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.6%
−0.3 pts
Montpellier win
Latest market chance 41.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.0% → 41.1%
−1.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+2.5+1.250−1.25Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Annecy
Draw
Montpellier
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Annecy
Montpellier
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
2nd
10
Games Played
10
1.60
Points/Game
2.10
1.40
Goals/Game
1.30
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
11.9
Shots/Game
13.8
4.6
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Annecy at home (5 matches) vs Montpellier away (6 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
2.17
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.67
20%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Annecy
Home form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Montpellier
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Annecy Wins
0
Draws
1
Montpellier Wins
1
Avg Goals
0.5
2026-04-102025-2026
Annecy0 – 0Montpellier
2025-11-072025-2026
Montpellier1 – 0Annecy
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Annecy
vs
Montpellier
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.5%→Latest 52.8%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 56.6%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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