Troyes vs Lens Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de l'Aube
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.00
Draw
4.02
Away Win
1.86
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Troyes
Lens
13'
⚽ (OG) Adrien Monfray
Timothee Nkada ⚽
26'
45+2'
⚽ Odsonne Édouard (Florian Thauvin)
55'
⚽ Ruben Aguilar (Florian Thauvin)
Junior Diaz 🟨
76'
Renaud Ripart 🟨
76'
77'
🟨 Samson Baidoo
82'
🟨 Amadou Haidara
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Troyes (4-2-3-1)
P. Beach
L. Maronnier
A. Monfray
M. Diaz
P. Gozzi
M. Diop
D. Karim
M. Ifnaoui
A. Mille
T. Nkada
R. Ripart
Lens (3-4-2-1)
R. Risser
K. Antonio
I. Ganiou
J. Todibo
R. Aguilar
Y. Titraoui
A. Bulatović
M. Skóraś
F. Thauvin
F. Sotoca
O. Édouard
Player Ratings ?
Troyes
T. NkadaM8.0
D. KarimM6.8
J. Le DouaronF6.7
Lens
F. ThauvinM8.6
R. AguilarM8.2
O. ÉdouardF7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Lens
Lens rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Lens an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lens stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lens have secured just one victory from their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Troyes remain winless in three of their most recent home outings. Troyes have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but kept just one clean sheet during that same span. Troyes face availability concerns with three confirmed out and one doubtful, whereas Lens have four players ruled out without any doubts attached to their squad. Lens rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 28 January 2023, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 14-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Lens.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Troyes win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.8%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.4%
+0.1 pts
Lens win
Latest market chance 51.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.2% → 51.9%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Troyes
Draw
Lens
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TroyesLens
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.17
0.67
Goals/Game
1.83
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.67
13.1
Shots/Game
12.9
3.3
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Troyes at home (5 matches) vs Lens away (6 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
0.67
1.00
Goals/Game
1.17
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.50
20%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Troyes
Home form
D
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lens
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Troyes Wins
0
Draws
1
Lens Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Troyes1 – 1Lens
Lens1 – 0Troyes
Troyes1 – 3Lens
Lens4 – 0Troyes
Lens1 – 0Troyes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Troyesvs
Lens
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 60.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 60.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Troyes's 10 matches and 4 of Lens's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?