Troyes vs Le Mans Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade de l'Aube
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.14
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Troyes
Le Mans
Junior Diaz 🟨
18'
Mouhamed Diop (Timothee Nkada) ⚽
33'
47'
🟨 Raul Torrente Navarro
Paolo Gozzi Iweru 🟨
52'
67'
🟨 Nicolas Kocik
Ismaël Boura 🟨
69'
Ismaël Boura ⚽
71'
74'
🟨 Noa Boissé
90+6'
🟨 Samuel Yohou
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
14
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
2
15
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Troyes (4-3-3)
H. Konaté
L. Maronnier
A. Monfray
M. Diaz
P. Gozzi
A. Mille
D. Karim
M. Diop
M. Ifnaoui
R. Ripart
T. Nkada
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
N. Kocik
N. Boissé
S. Yohou
Raúl Torrente
A. Lauray
L. Buadés
A. Rabillard
L. Bretelle
L. Calodat
L. Mafouta
H. Diallo
Player Ratings ?
Troyes
M. DiopM8.2
A. MonfrayD7.4
D. KarimM7.1
Le Mans
N. KocikG7.3
L. BretelleM6.8
L. MafoutaF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Troyes edge defence, Le Mans edge recent form and attack, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Le Mans stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Le Mans slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Troyes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides arrive with identical recent form records at this venue, as Le Mans have secured no wins from their last five away outings while Troyes remain winless in three of their last five home matches. Troyes have found the net in three of their last five home games but have only managed a single clean sheet across that same period. Concerns loom for both camps ahead of kickoff, with Troyes carrying two players out and two more doubtful while Le Mans face similar issues with two confirmed absences and three others in doubt. Le Mans rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Troyes hold a slight advantage in defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Le Mans won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 31 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Troyes's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Troyes's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Le Mans's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Troyes losing run
2
Troyes points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Troyes
Troyes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Troyes win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Troyes win
Latest market chance 41.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
44.3% → 41.1%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.4%
+0.3 pts
Le Mans win
Latest market chance 31.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.6% → 31.4%
+2.8 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
12 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 31
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Troyes
Draw
Le Mans
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Troyes
Le Mans
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
15th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
0.88
0.62
Goals/Game
1.38
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.1
Shots/Game
10.7
3.3
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Troyes at home (5 matches) vs Le Mans away (5 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
0.40
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Troyes
Home form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Le Mans
Away form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Troyes Wins
2
Draws
2
Le Mans Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-01-312025-2026
Troyes0 – 2Le Mans
2025-10-032025-2026
Le Mans2 – 2Troyes
2019-10-182019-2020
Troyes2 – 1Le Mans
2012-02-242011-2012
Troyes2 – 1Le Mans
2011-09-262011-2012
Le Mans1 – 1Troyes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Troyes
vs
Le Mans
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 52.2%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 56.8%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Troyes's 10 matches and 2 of Le Mans's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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