Troyes vs Le Havre Head to Head, Prediction
Stade de l'Aube
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.58
Away Win
3.45
Match Prediction
Data favours
Troyes
Troyes rate stronger in recent form and defence; Le Havre edge attack and head-to-head, giving Troyes a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Troyes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Troyes stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Troyes
Troyes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Troyes win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Troyes win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
46.3% → 44.5%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.6%
+0.3 pts
Le Havre win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.0%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Troyes
Draw
Le Havre
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TroyesLe Havre
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
18th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
0.20
0.70
Goals/Game
0.90
1.70
Conceded/Game
2.20
13.1
Shots/Game
16.7
3.3
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Troyes at home (5 matches) vs Le Havre away (5 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
0.20
1.00
Goals/Game
1.80
2.20
Conceded/Game
2.60
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Troyes
Home form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Le Havre
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Troyes Wins
2
Draws
0
Le Havre Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Le Havre3 – 2Troyes
Troyes2 – 0Le Havre
Le Havre1 – 0Troyes
Troyes1 – 2Le Havre
Troyes2 – 1Le Havre
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Troyesvs
Le Havre
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 52.7%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 56.6%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?