Strasbourg vs Paris SG Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de la Meinau
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.62
Draw
5.55
Away Win
1.41
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Strasbourg
Paris SG
Giovanni Reyna (Gessime Yassine) ⚽
17'
72'
• Ousmane Dembélé
Conrad Harder 🟨
76'
77'
⚽ Ilya Zabarnyi (Ousmane Dembélé)
Dario Essugo 🟨
78'
85'
⚽ Ousmane Dembélé
90+3'
⚽ Désiré Doue (Ferrán Torres)
Match Statistics ?
27%
Ball Possession
73%
17
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1)
F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
Oso
Dário Essugo
P. Diop
Gessime Yassine
G. Reyna
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
C. Harder
Paris SG (4-3-3)
M. Safonov
W. Zaïre-Emery
I. Zabarnyi
L. Hernández
L. Digne
João Neves
Pedro Fernández
Beraldo
M. Akliouche
Ferran Torres
K. Kvaratskhelia
Player Ratings ?
Strasbourg
G. ReynaM7.4
G. AntwiD7.1
J. MitchellD6.8
Paris SG
M. SafonovG8.6
O. DembéléF8.0
I. ZabarnyiD8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris SG edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris SG have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Strasbourg have managed just two victories in their last five home fixtures. Strasbourg have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same span. Strasbourg face four confirmed absences ahead of the match, whereas Paris SG will be without two players. Paris SG rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Paris SG won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 1 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Strasbourg's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 14-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 14.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.8% → 14.5%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.9% → 17.8%
−0.1 pts
Paris SG win
Latest market chance 67.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
67.3% → 67.8%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Strasbourg
Draw
Paris SG
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StrasbourgParis SG
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
6th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.83
1.83
Goals/Game
1.83
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.6
Shots/Game
19.3
4.9
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away Context
Strasbourg at home (5 matches) vs Paris SG away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.33
2.80
Goals/Game
2.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.17
60%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Strasbourg
Home form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Paris SG
Away form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Strasbourg Wins
1
Draws
1
Paris SG Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
Strasbourg1 – 2Paris SG
Paris SG3 – 3Strasbourg
Strasbourg2 – 1Paris SG
Paris SG4 – 2Strasbourg
Strasbourg1 – 2Paris SG
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Strasbourgvs
Paris SG
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.8%→Latest 71.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.6%→Latest 63.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Strasbourg's 10 matches and 4 of Paris SG's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?