Rennes vs Strasbourg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roazhon Park
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.82
Draw
4.34
Away Win
3.90
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Rennes
Strasbourg
33'
🟨 Gessime Yassine
Boulaye Dia (Przemysław Frankowski) ⚽
34'
Sebastian Szymański (Mahamadou Nagida) ⚽
41'
Boulaye Dia 🟨
56'
Sebastian Szymański (Mousa Al-Tamari) ⚽
61'
65'
🟨 Giovanni Reyna
87'
🟨 Pape Demba Diop
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Rennes (5-3-2)
B. Samba
P. Frankowski
A. Ait Boudlal
C. Cresswell
A. Rouault
M. Nagida
S. Szymański
V. Rongier
M. Camara
B. Dia
Mousa Tamari
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1)
F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
Oso
P. Diop
Dário Essugo
Gessime Yassine
Diogo Sousa
G. Reyna
C. Harder
Player Ratings ?
Rennes
S. SzymańskiM8.9
B. DiaF7.7
A. RouaultD7.6
Strasbourg
Yaya DiemeNone6.7
Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD6.6
G. ReynaM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rennes edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rennes look formidable at home with four wins and a single draw from their last five outings, while Strasbourg have struggled away with just two victories in that same span. The hosts have scored in every one of their recent five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Rennes face just one absence in their squad, whereas Strasbourg will be missing four players from their available list for this fixture. Rennes rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Rennes won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 19 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Strasbourg's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Rennes's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points, while Strasbourg's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Rennes
Rennes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rennes win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rennes win
Latest market chance 53.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
56.1% → 53.4%
−2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.4% → 22.7%
+0.3 pts
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
21.5% → 23.8%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rennes
Draw
Strasbourg
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RennesStrasbourg
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
14th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
1.00
2.14
Goals/Game
1.71
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.14
16.2
Shots/Game
12.6
6.0
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Rennes at home (7 matches) vs Strasbourg away (7 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
0.43
2.43
Goals/Game
1.29
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.71
71%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rennes
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Strasbourg
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rennes Wins
4
Draws
0
Strasbourg Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Rennes3 – 0Strasbourg
Strasbourg0 – 3Rennes
Rennes4 – 1Strasbourg
Rennes1 – 0Strasbourg
Strasbourg3 – 1Rennes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rennesvs
Strasbourg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 66.2%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.1%→Latest 65.0%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Rennes's 10 matches and 2 of Strasbourg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?