Rennes vs Lille Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roazhon Park
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.60
Away Win
3.28
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Rennes
Lille
24'
⚽ Soriba Diaoune
Boulaye Dia (Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal) ⚽
31'
55'
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
68'
⚽ Nathan Ngoy (Soriba Diaoune)
73'
🟨 Maurits Kjaergaard
77'
🟨 Nathan Ngoy
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Rennes (3-5-2)
B. Samba
A. Ait Boudlal
C. Cresswell
Gonçalo Oliveira
B. Reynolds
A. Thomasson
V. Rongier
M. Camara
M. Nagida
B. Dia
Eliezer Mayenda
Lille (4-3-3)
B. Özer
N. Ngoy
T. Nianzou
Alexsandro Ribeiro
C. Verdonk
N. Mukau
N. Bentaleb
B. André
E. Mbappé
H. Haraldsson
S. Diaoune
Player Ratings ?
Rennes
B. DiaF7.8
A. Ait BoudlalD7.8
V. RongierM7.0
Lille
S. DiaouneF8.2
N. NgoyD7.2
T. NianzouD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rennes edge attack, Lille edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lille have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Rennes remain unbeaten in five home games. Rennes have found the net in all five of their recent home matches and kept three clean sheets during that same period. Lille rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Rennes rate stronger on attack. Lille won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Rennes's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Rennes's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Lille's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
57%
Lille yellow cards after 75'
15
Rennes points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Rennes
Rennes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rennes win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rennes win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
46.9% → 43.7%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.3% → 26.7%
+1.4 pts
Lille win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.8% → 29.6%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rennes
Draw
Lille
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RennesLille
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
2.00
2.22
Goals/Game
1.33
2.11
Conceded/Game
0.67
16.2
Shots/Game
11.4
6.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Rennes at home (7 matches) vs Lille away (5 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
2.00
2.43
Goals/Game
1.40
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.80
71%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rennes
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lille
Away form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rennes Wins
1
Draws
1
Lille Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Rennes1 – 2Lille
Lille0 – 2Rennes
Rennes0 – 2Lille
Lille1 – 0Rennes
Lille2 – 2Rennes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rennesvs
Lille
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded / game
0.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 56.0%−4.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 59.4%−3.1 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?