Rennes vs Auxerre Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roazhon Park
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.43
Draw
5.08
Away Win
6.91
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Rennes
Auxerre
Esteban Lepaul (Charlie Cresswell) ⚽
15'
25'
⚽ Cameron Archer (Mamadou Diop)
Anthony Rouault 🟨
50'
Adrien Thomasson (Bryan Reynolds) ⚽
53'
Adrien Thomasson 🟨
59'
Esteban Lepaul 🟨
59'
Djaoui Cissé 🟨
90'
Boulaye Dia (Ludovic Blas) ⚽
90+2'
Boulaye Dia (Bryan Reynolds) ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
21
Total Shots
12
10
Shots on Goal
5
12
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Rennes (4-3-3)
B. Samba
B. Reynolds
C. Cresswell
A. Rouault
M. Nagida
A. Thomasson
V. Rongier
M. Camara
Mousa Tamari
E. Lepaul
I. Soumaré
Auxerre (3-4-2-1)
M. Diop
A. Piedfort
A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa
L. Sy
N. Ahamada
K. Danois
F. Oppegård
R. Faivre
D. Namaso
C. Archer
Player Ratings ?
Rennes
B. DiaF8.3
E. LepaulF8.1
B. ReynoldsD7.9
Auxerre
C. ArcherF7.5
M. DiopG7.0
R. FaivreM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rennes edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rennes arrive at home unbeaten in their last five outings with four wins and a draw, while Auxerre have struggled away from home with just one win and three defeats in the same span. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have kept only a single clean sheet during that period. Auxerre face six confirmed absences ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture. Rennes rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Rennes won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 22 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Auxerre's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 24-day comparison window, Rennes's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Auxerre's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Auxerre losing run
13
Rennes points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rennes win
Latest market chance 66.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
66.9% → 66.2%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.2% → 19.5%
+0.3 pts
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 14.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.9% → 14.3%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rennes
Draw
Auxerre
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RennesAuxerre
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
14th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
1.20
1.60
Goals/Game
1.40
1.80
Conceded/Game
2.40
16.2
Shots/Game
11.1
6.0
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Rennes at home (7 matches) vs Auxerre away (6 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
0.50
2.43
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.83
71%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rennes
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Auxerre
Away form
D
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rennes Wins
1
Draws
2
Auxerre Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Auxerre0 – 3Rennes
Rennes2 – 2Auxerre
Rennes0 – 1Auxerre
Auxerre4 – 0Rennes
Auxerre0 – 0Rennes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rennesvs
Auxerre
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.90
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 63.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Rennes's 10 matches and 5 of Auxerre's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?