Paris SG vs Lyon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Parc des Princes
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.36
Draw
5.87
Away Win
7.37
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Paris SG
Lyon
Vitinha 🟨
31'
Maghnes Akliouche 🟨
51'
Senny Mayulu (Mika Godts) ⚽
72'
74'
🟨 Ernest Nuamah
Mika Godts (Quentin Ndjantou) ⚽
84'
Match Statistics ?
68%
Ball Possession
32%
17
Total Shots
8
10
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
4
8
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Paris SG (4-3-3)
M. Safonov
A. Hakimi
I. Zabarnyi
W. Pacho
W. Zaïre-Emery
João Neves
Vitinha
Fabián Ruiz
M. Akliouche
Ferran Torres
D. Doué
Lyon (4-3-3)
D. Greif
Z. Athekame
F. Bacher
M. Niakhaté
Abner
T. Tessmann
T. Morton
C. Tolisso
E. Nuamah
K. Merah
J. Duranville
Player Ratings ?
Paris SG
M. SafonovG7.9
Senny MayuluM7.8
M. GodtsF7.6
Lyon
D. GreifG7.5
M. NiakhatéD6.8
K. MerahF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris SG edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris SG have secured three victories from their last five home outings, whereas Lyon have managed just two wins in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. The hosts have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Paris SG face four confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, while Lyon are dealing with five confirmed out-counts and no doubts regarding their squad availability. Paris SG rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Lyon won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Paris SG's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Paris SG's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Lyon's implied win probability has fallen by 0.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Paris SG
Paris SG's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris SG win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris SG win
Latest market chance 69.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
68.9% → 69.7%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.8% → 17.1%
−0.7 pts
Lyon win
Latest market chance 13.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.3% → 13.2%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paris SG
Draw
Lyon
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris SGLyon
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.86
1.29
Conceded/Game
0.71
19.3
Shots/Game
12.9
7.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Paris SG at home (5 matches) vs Lyon away (6 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.67
1.80
Goals/Game
0.50
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.33
80%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paris SG
Home form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lyon
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris SG Wins
4
Draws
0
Lyon Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
Paris SG2 – 0Lyon
Paris SG1 – 2Lyon
Lyon2 – 3Paris SG
Lyon2 – 3Paris SG
Paris SG3 – 1Lyon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris SGvs
Lyon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.0%→Latest 69.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 59.5%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Paris SG's 10 matches and 2 of Lyon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?