Paris FC vs Rennes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Jean Bouin
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.15
Draw
3.66
Away Win
3.45
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 3
Match Events ?
Paris FC
Rennes
Maxime López (Lassine Sinayoko) ⚽
14'
23'
🟨 Przemysław Frankowski
29'
⚽ (P) Esteban Lepaul
32'
🟨 Djaoui Cissé
36'
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
36'
🟨 Anthony Rouault
Samir Chergui 🟨
42'
Maxime López (Lassine Sinayoko) ⚽
45+4'
Ilan Kebbal 🟨
67'
74'
⚽ (P) Esteban Lepaul
Lassine Sinayoko ⚽
76'
88'
⚽ (P) Esteban Lepaul
Hamari Traore 🟨
90+5'
Lassine Sinayoko ⚽ (P)
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
19
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Paris FC (4-2-3-1)
K. Trapp
A. Camara
S. Chergui
D. Coppola
H. Traoré
M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
L. Koleosho
L. Sinayoko
Rennes (4-3-3)
B. Samba
B. Reynolds
C. Cresswell
A. Rouault
P. Frankowski
S. Szymański
D. Cissé
A. Thomasson
L. Blas
E. Lepaul
I. Soumaré
Player Ratings ?
Paris FC
L. SinayokoF9.5
M. LopezM8.7
K. TrappG6.7
Rennes
E. LepaulF8.3
V. RongierM6.8
L. BlasF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris FC edge defence, Rennes edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rennes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris FC have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run at home over their last five outings, while Rennes have struggled away from home with two wins and three defeats in that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Paris FC face some selection headaches with two players out and a further two listed as doubtful ahead of kickoff. Rennes rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Paris FC rate stronger on defence. Rennes won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Paris FC's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Paris FC's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Rennes's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Paris FC
Paris FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris FC win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 43.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
41.5% → 43.6%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 27.8%
−0.7 pts
Rennes win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
30.0% → 28.6%
−1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paris FC
Draw
Rennes
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris FCRennes
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
4th
6
Games Played
6
1.83
Points/Game
2.17
1.33
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
13.5
Shots/Game
16.2
4.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Paris FC at home (5 matches) vs Rennes away (5 matches)
2.60
Points/Game
0.60
2.40
Goals/Game
1.80
1.00
Conceded/Game
3.80
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paris FC
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rennes
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris FC Wins
0
Draws
0
Rennes Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Rennes2 – 1Paris FC
Paris FC0 – 1Rennes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris FCvs
Rennes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 56.9%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.5%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Paris FC's 10 matches and 4 of Rennes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?