Paris FC vs Monaco Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Jean Bouin
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.53
Draw
3.53
Away Win
2.82
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Paris FC
Monaco
Lassine Sinayoko (Maxime López) ⚽
38'
Lassine Sinayoko (Moses Simon) ⚽
44'
65'
⚽ Folarin Balogun (Vanderson)
68'
🟨 Vanderson
Pablo Pagis (Lassine Sinayoko) ⚽
74'
Hamari Traore 🟨
85'
88'
🟨 Lamine Camara
Pablo Pagis 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
19
Total Shots
9
10
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Paris FC (4-2-3-1)
K. Trapp
H. Traoré
S. Chergui
D. Coppola
Otávio
M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
M. Simon
L. Sinayoko
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
L. Hrádecký
Vanderson
Sadibou Sané
E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho
L. Camara
D. Zakaria
E. Diop
A. Golovin
M. Abline
Paris Josua Brunner
Player Ratings ?
Paris FC
L. SinayokoF9.6
P. PagisM8.2
M. LopezM7.7
Monaco
F. BalogunF7.6
L. HrádeckýG7.0
VandersonD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris FC edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris FC have enjoyed a robust run at home with four victories and just one draw from their last five outings, whereas Monaco have been more inconsistent away from home with two wins, one draw and two defeats in the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches while keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that identical period. Paris FC face potential disruption with two players out and four listed as doubtful, while Monaco have three confirmed absences but no doubts surrounding their squad availability. Paris FC rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack and defence. Paris FC won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 10 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Monaco's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Paris FC's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points, while Monaco's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Paris FC
Paris FC's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Paris FC win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.2% → 39.0%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.2% → 27.3%
+1.1 pts
Monaco win
Latest market chance 33.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
32.6% → 33.6%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paris FC
Draw
Monaco
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris FCMonaco
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
4th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
1.88
1.62
Goals/Game
1.38
1.12
Conceded/Game
0.88
13.5
Shots/Game
11.8
4.9
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Paris FC at home (5 matches) vs Monaco away (6 matches)
2.60
Points/Game
1.33
2.40
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.17
80%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paris FC
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Monaco
Away form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris FC Wins
2
Draws
0
Monaco Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Paris FC4 – 1Monaco
Monaco0 – 1Paris FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris FCvs
Monaco
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.2%→Latest 52.5%−3.7 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 57.1%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Paris FC's 10 matches and 2 of Monaco's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?