Nice vs Strasbourg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Riviera
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.37
Draw
3.66
Away Win
2.96
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Nice
Strasbourg
41'
⚽ Dario Essugo (Conrad Harder)
Pape Demba Diop ⚽ (OG)
45+2'
47'
🟨 Joaquín Martínez Gauna
Sofiane Diop 🟨
75'
Jonathan Clauss (Sofiane Diop) ⚽
81'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
3
3
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Y. Diouf
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly
A. Witsel
N. Nkounkou
G. Hein
M. Amoura
E. Wahi
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
Oso
Diogo Sousa
P. Diop
Dário Essugo
S. Amo-Ameyaw
C. Harder
Gessime Yassine
Player Ratings ?
Nice
J. ClaussM8.2
Y. NdayishimiyeD7.0
Mohamed AbdelmonemD6.9
Strasbourg
Dário EssugoM8.0
G. AntwiD7.0
C. HarderF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nice edge defence, Strasbourg edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nice stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nice have enjoyed a solid unbeaten run at home in their last five outings, while Strasbourg have been inconsistent on the road with two wins, two defeats and a draw in that same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets in that period. There are four players unavailable for Nice and three for Strasbourg ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture. Strasbourg rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Nice rate stronger on defence. Strasbourg won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 4 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Nice's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Nice's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while Strasbourg's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Strasbourg
Strasbourg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Strasbourg win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. Nice remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nice win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.4% → 40.8%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 26.3%
−0.7 pts
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 32.9%
+2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nice
Draw
Strasbourg
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NiceStrasbourg
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
0.60
Goals/Game
2.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
12.4
Shots/Game
12.6
4.4
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Nice at home (6 matches) vs Strasbourg away (7 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.43
2.50
Goals/Game
1.29
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.71
67%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nice
Home form
D
D
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Strasbourg
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nice Wins
2
Draws
2
Strasbourg Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Strasbourg3 – 1Nice
Nice1 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg2 – 2Nice
Nice2 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg1 – 3Nice
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nicevs
Strasbourg
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 57.6%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 60.6%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Nice's 10 matches and 5 of Strasbourg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?