Nice vs Rennes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Riviera
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.59
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.68
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
Nice
Rennes
Sepe Elye Wahi ⚽ (P)
12'
15'
⚽ Sebastian Szymański (Mahamadou Nagida)
Sepe Elye Wahi ⚽ (P)
34'
Jonathan Clauss (Sepe Elye Wahi) ⚽
45+2'
Mohamed Amoura (Sofiane Diop) ⚽
52'
58'
⚽ (P) Boulaye Dia
61'
🟨 Anthony Rouault
Sepe Elye Wahi 🟨
62'
Sepe Elye Wahi (Gauthier Hein) ⚽
73'
84'
🟨 Charlie Cresswell
Mohamed Abdelmoneim 🟨
84'
84'
🟨 Mahdi Camara
Youssouf Ndayishimiye 🟨
84'
Mohamed Amoura 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
17
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Goal
9
4
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Y. Diouf
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly
H. Boudaoui
N. Nkounkou
S. Diop
M. Amoura
E. Wahi
Rennes (3-5-2)
N. Lemaître
A. Ait Boudlal
C. Cresswell
A. Rouault
P. Frankowski
S. Szymański
V. Rongier
A. Thomasson
M. Nagida
B. Dia
Mousa Tamari
Player Ratings ?
Nice
E. WahiF8.8
J. ClaussM8.0
M. AmouraM7.6
Rennes
S. SzymańskiM8.2
B. DiaF7.4
M. NagidaM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nice edge defence, Rennes edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nice stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rennes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Nice have enjoyed a solid unbeaten run of two victories and three draws in their last five home outings, Rennes have struggled significantly away from home with just one win from their previous five matches. At home, Nice have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. The hosts face some squad questions with four players out and one doubtful for selection, whereas Rennes have two unavailable options but no doubts over their remaining squad members. Rennes rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Nice rate stronger on defence. Rennes won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 8 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Nice's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nice win
Latest market chance 35.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.3% → 35.4%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.7%
±0.0 pts
Rennes win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.0% → 39.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nice
Draw
Rennes
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NiceRennes

Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.75
12.4
Shots/Game
16.2
4.4
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Nice at home (6 matches) vs Rennes away (5 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.60
2.50
Goals/Game
1.80
1.17
Conceded/Game
3.80
67%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Nice
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Rennes
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nice Wins
2
Draws
0
Rennes Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Nice0 – 4Rennes
Rennes1 – 2Nice
Rennes2 – 0Nice
Nice3 – 2Rennes
Rennes2 – 0Nice
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nicevs
Rennes

Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 59.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Nice's 10 matches and 1 of Rennes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?