Nice vs Paris SG Head to Head, Prediction
Allianz Riviera
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
5.84
Draw
5.07
Away Win
1.46
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris SG edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris SG slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Paris SG stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nice win
Latest market chance 16.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.5% → 16.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.2% → 19.0%
−0.2 pts
Paris SG win
Latest market chance 64.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.3% → 64.5%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nice
Draw
Paris SG
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NiceParis SG
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
1st
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
2.30
1.50
Goals/Game
2.20
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.4
Shots/Game
19.3
4.4
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away Context
Nice at home (6 matches) vs Paris SG away (6 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.33
2.50
Goals/Game
2.50
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.17
67%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nice
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Paris SG
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nice Wins
1
Draws
1
Paris SG Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Nice0 – 4Paris SG
Paris SG1 – 0Nice
Paris SG1 – 3Nice
Nice1 – 1Paris SG
Nice1 – 2Paris SG
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nicevs
Paris SG
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 68.1%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 61.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?