Monaco vs Auxerre Head to Head | Ligue 1

Match Prediction

Data favours

Monaco

Monaco rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Monaco a slight edge.

Leads 3 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Monaco stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Closely matched

HomeAway

Defence

Monaco stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Monaco stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Monaco win

Latest market chance 67.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

67.8% → 67.8%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 18.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

18.8% → 18.8%

±0.0 pts

Auxerre win

Latest market chance 13.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

13.4% → 13.4%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Monaco

Draw

Auxerre

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Monaco

Auxerre

Season Profile

This season

7th

League Position

14th

Games Played

1.60

Points/Game

1.00

1.30

Goals/Game

1.30

1.10

Conceded/Game

2.40

11.8

Shots/Game

11.1

4.2

Shots on Target

4.5

Home vs Away Context

Monaco at home (4 matches) vs Auxerre away (6 matches)

2.00

Points/Game

0.50

1.75

Goals/Game

1.50

1.00

Conceded/Game

3.83

50%

Win Rate

17%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Monaco

Home form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Auxerre

Away form

Lost 4 of last 5 away

1.4

Goals scored
per match

3.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Monaco Wins

Draws

Auxerre Wins

Avg Goals

4.2

2026-04-192025-2026

Monaco2 – 2Auxerre

2025-09-132025-2026

Auxerre1 – 2Monaco

2025-02-012024-2025

Monaco4 – 2Auxerre

2024-09-142024-2025

Auxerre0 – 3Monaco

2023-02-012022-2023

Monaco3 – 2Auxerre

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Monaco

Auxerre

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

1.20

1.10

Goals conceded / game

2.40

4/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

1/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

83.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

63.6%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

42.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

55.7%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 65.7%→Latest 63.8%−1.9 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.4%→Latest 55.7%−1.7 pts

Notable move away from both teams scoring

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Monaco vs Auxerre Head to Head, Prediction