Marseille vs Le Mans Head to Head, Prediction
Orange Vélodrome
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.90
Away Win
6.32
Match Prediction
Data favours
Marseille
Marseille rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Marseille an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Marseille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Marseille win
Latest market chance 66.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
66.1% → 66.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.5% → 19.5%
±0.0 pts
Le Mans win
Latest market chance 14.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.4% → 14.4%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Marseille
Draw
Le Mans
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MarseilleLe Mans
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
15th
10
Games Played
10
1.80
Points/Game
0.80
2.20
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.90
13.2
Shots/Game
10.7
4.7
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Marseille at home (7 matches) vs Le Mans away (5 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.40
2.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.57
Conceded/Game
2.00
71%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Marseille
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Le Mans
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Marseille Wins
2
Draws
3
Le Mans Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
Marseille2 – 1Le Mans
Le Mans1 – 2Marseille
Marseille0 – 0Le Mans
Le Mans1 – 1Marseille
Le Mans0 – 0Marseille
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Marseillevs
Le Mans
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.1%→Latest 63.7%−4.4 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 56.8%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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