Lorient vs Paris FC Head to Head | Ligue 1

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 0

Match Events

Lorient

Paris FC

52'

🟨 Lassine Sinayoko

58'

🟨 Samir Chergui

58'

🟨 Hamari Traore

Gabin Bernardeau (Jean-Victor Makengo) ⚽

68'

Montassar Talbi 🟨

70'

74'

🟨 Patrick Zabi

90+2'

🟨 Maxime López

A. Dujeux 🟨

90+6'

Match Statistics

40%

Ball Possession

60%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Lorient (3-4-2-1)

Y. Mvogo

N. Adjei

M. Talbi

S. Touré

D. Sylla

N. Cadiou

A. Georgen

K. Kouassi

J. Makengo

I. Jensen

M. Kone

Paris FC (4-2-3-1)

K. Trapp

A. Camara

S. Chergui

D. Coppola

H. Traoré

M. Lopez

P. Lees-Melou

I. Kebbal

P. Pagis

L. Koleosho

L. Sinayoko

Player Ratings

Lorient

G. BernardeauM8.0

S. TouréD7.8

J. MakengoM7.7

Paris FC

M. LopezM7.2

D. CoppolaD7.0

A. CamaraD6.9

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Paris FC

Paris FC rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Paris FC a slight edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Paris FC stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Paris FC slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Paris FC stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Paris FC stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Paris FC have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Lorient have recorded just a solitary victory in that same span at home. Lorient have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have kept just a single clean sheet during that period. Three players are unavailable for Lorient, with Paris FC having one squad member out as well. Paris FC rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Lorient's implied win probability has fallen by 4.9 percentage points, while Paris FC's implied win probability has risen by 3.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Paris FC a slight edge.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from Lorient

Lorient's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Lorient win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. Paris FC remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Lorient win

Latest market chance 28.4%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

32.6% → 28.4%

−4.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 28.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

28.2% → 28.5%

+0.3 pts

Paris FC win

Latest market chance 43.1%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

39.2% → 43.1%

+3.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

15 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Lorient

Draw

Paris FC

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Lorient

Paris FC

Season Profile

This season

13th

League Position

3rd

Games Played

1.00

Points/Game

2.20

1.00

Goals/Game

1.60

1.20

Conceded/Game

0.60

10.0

Shots/Game

13.5

2.8

Shots on Target

4.9

Home vs Away Context

Lorient at home (6 matches) vs Paris FC away (5 matches)

1.17

Points/Game

1.40

0.83

Goals/Game

1.00

1.33

Conceded/Game

1.00

33%

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Lorient

Home form

Lost 3 of last 5 at home

3 of these matches from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Paris FC

Away form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

1.6

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Lorient Wins

Draws

Paris FC Wins

Avg Goals

2.8

2026-04-052025-2026

Lorient1 – 1Paris FC

2025-10-032025-2026

Paris FC2 – 0Lorient

2025-03-082024-2025

Paris FC3 – 2Lorient

2024-12-142024-2025

Lorient2 – 0Paris FC

2019-07-292019-2020

Lorient3 – 0Paris FC

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Lorient

Paris FC

Recent Scoring Profile

1.50

Goals scored / game

1.80

1.30

Goals conceded / game

0.80

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

2/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

72.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

49.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

28.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

54.1%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 52.5%→Latest 49.0%−3.5 pts

Strong move away from 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.1%→Latest 54.0%−3.1 pts

Strong move away from both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

5 of Lorient's 10 matches and 5 of Paris FC's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Lorient vs Paris FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis