Lorient vs Brest Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade du Moustoir
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.25
Away Win
3.04
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Lorient
Brest
41'
🟨 Mama Baldé
Isaak Touré 🟨
58'
69'
⚽ Ludovic Ajorque
Aiyegun Tosin •
90+1'
90+2'
⚽ Noah Edjouma (Giovani Versini)
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
0
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Lorient (3-4-2-1)
Y. Mvogo
N. Adjei
M. Talbi
S. Touré
D. Sylla
A. Avom
N. Cadiou
K. Kouassi
J. Makengo
S. Faye
I. Baldé
Brest (4-2-3-1)
E. Selvik
K. Lala
L. Tousart
G. Lloris
B. Locko
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
Mama Baldé
K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
Player Ratings ?
Lorient
M. TalbiD7.1
A. AvomM7.1
S. TouréD6.9
Brest
L. AjorqueF7.9
L. TousartD7.4
J. ChotardM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lorient edge recent form and defence, Brest edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lorient stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brest stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lorient stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Brest have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Lorient have secured two wins in five matches at home during this period. Lorient have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures and kept two clean sheets in that same span. There are availability concerns for Lorient with one player out and another doubtful, while Brest face similar issues with two players unavailable and one doubtful for selection. Lorient rate stronger on form and defence, while Brest rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Brest won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 7 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Lorient's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Lorient's implied win probability has risen by 2.5 percentage points, while Brest's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Brest
Brest's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Brest win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Lorient remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lorient win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.0% → 38.3%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.4%
+2.0 pts
Brest win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.6% → 32.3%
−4.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lorient
Draw
Brest
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LorientBrest
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
14th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
1.13
0.88
Goals/Game
1.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.0
Shots/Game
16.0
2.8
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Lorient at home (6 matches) vs Brest away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.83
0.83
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lorient
Home form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brest
Away form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lorient Wins
0
Draws
1
Brest Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.0
Lorient0 – 2Brest
Brest2 – 0Lorient
Lorient3 – 3Brest
Lorient0 – 1Brest
Brest4 – 0Lorient
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lorientvs
Brest
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 46.1%−3.9 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 52.0%−3.3 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Lorient's 10 matches and 1 of Brest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?