Lille vs Lyon Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.37
Draw
3.33
Away Win
3.09
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lille edge recent form, attack and defence, Lyon edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Lille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lille stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lyon stronger
HomeAway
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lille win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.7% → 40.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Lyon win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lille
Draw
Lyon
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LilleLyon
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
5th
10
Games Played
10
2.10
Points/Game
1.70
1.40
Goals/Game
1.50
0.70
Conceded/Game
0.90
11.4
Shots/Game
12.9
5.0
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Lille at home (6 matches) vs Lyon away (6 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.67
1.33
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lille
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lyon
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lille Wins
0
Draws
1
Lyon Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Lyon1 – 0Lille
Lille0 – 1Lyon
Lyon2 – 1Lille
Lille1 – 1Lyon
Lille3 – 4Lyon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lillevs
Lyon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 50.3%−4.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 54.9%−4.0 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?