Lens vs Toulouse Head to Head, Prediction
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.77
Draw
4.16
Away Win
4.08
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lens edge attack and head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Lens slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lens stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lens win
Latest market chance 53.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.9% → 53.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.7%
+0.1 pts
Toulouse win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 22.4%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lens
Draw
Toulouse
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LensToulouse
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
12th
10
Games Played
10
1.30
Points/Game
1.30
1.70
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.40
12.9
Shots/Game
12.6
5.4
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Lens at home (5 matches) vs Toulouse away (6 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.67
60%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lens
Home form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Toulouse
Away form
D
D
W
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lens Wins
3
Draws
1
Toulouse Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Lens3 – 2Toulouse
Toulouse0 – 3Lens
Toulouse1 – 1Lens
Lens0 – 1Toulouse
Toulouse0 – 2Lens
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lensvs
Toulouse
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 58.6%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.6%→Latest 58.5%−3.1 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?