Le Mans vs Monaco Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MMArena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.62
Draw
4.29
Away Win
1.71
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Le Mans
Monaco
40'
⚽ Mamadou Coulibaly
Erwan Colas ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
19
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
N. Kocik
R. Bamba
S. Yohou
H. Voyer
L. Bretelle
L. Buadés
D. Traoré
J. Vercruysse
L. Calodat
L. Mafouta
D. Guèye
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
L. Hrádecký
Vanderson
Sadibou Sané
E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho
D. Zakaria
L. Camara
M. Coulibaly
A. Golovin
M. Detourbet
M. Abline
Player Ratings ?
Le Mans
E. ColasF8.1
R. BambaD7.2
L. MafoutaF7.0
Monaco
M. CoulibalyM7.6
L. HrádeckýG7.2
E. DierD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Monaco
Monaco rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Monaco a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Monaco slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Monaco have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Le Mans have secured two victories alongside two draws in their corresponding home sample. Le Mans have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Monaco rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2013. Over the 13-day comparison window, Le Mans's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Monaco's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Monaco a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Le Mans
Le Mans's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Le Mans win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Monaco remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Le Mans win
Latest market chance 20.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.2% → 20.8%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.1%
+0.3 pts
Monaco win
Latest market chance 56.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
55.0% → 56.1%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Le Mans
Draw
Monaco
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Le MansMonaco
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
7th
9
Games Played
9
0.78
Points/Game
1.67
1.22
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.11
10.7
Shots/Game
11.8
3.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Le Mans at home (5 matches) vs Monaco away (6 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.33
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.17
20%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Le Mans
Home form
W
D
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Monaco
Away form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Le Mans Wins
0
Draws
2
Monaco Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Monaco2 – 1Le Mans
Le Mans2 – 3Monaco
Le Mans0 – 1Monaco
Monaco2 – 2Le Mans
Monaco1 – 1Le Mans
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Le Mansvs
Monaco
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 57.9%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 57.9%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Le Mans's 10 matches and 1 of Monaco's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?