Le Havre vs Lorient Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Océane
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.12
Draw
3.36
Away Win
2.43
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Le Havre
Lorient
18'
⚽ Isaak Touré (Arsène Kouassi)
67'
🟨 Souleymane Faye
85'
🟨 Noah Cadiou
90+5'
⚽ Jean-Victor Makengo (Mamadou Kone)
Ahmed Touba 🟨
90+6'
90+6'
🟨 Jean-Victor Makengo
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
21
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
0
16
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Le Havre (3-4-2-1)
A. Bodart
V. Sasso
A. Touba
E. Koffi Vinette
D. Ouziad
S. Ebonog
J. Mwanga
M. Samatta
R. Fofana
K. Mizuta
J. Maja
Lorient (3-4-2-1)
Y. Mvogo
N. Adjei
M. Talbi
S. Touré
D. Sylla
N. Cadiou
A. Avom
K. Kouassi
J. Makengo
G. Bernardeau
A. Tosin
Player Ratings ?
Le Havre
J. MwangaM7.1
A. RichardsonM6.9
V. SassoD6.9
Lorient
J. MakengoM8.1
Y. MvogoG7.8
S. TouréD7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Le Havre edge attack and head-to-head, Lorient edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lorient stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lorient stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Lorient arrive at this Ligue 1 fixture with an encouraging away record of two wins and two draws from their last five outings, while hosts Le Havre have struggled significantly at home with just one draw and four defeats in the same span. At home, Le Havre have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed only a single clean sheet during that identical period. Lorient rate stronger on form and defence, while Le Havre rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Le Havre won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Lorient's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Le Havre's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points, while Lorient's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Le Havre yellow cards after 75'
1
Le Havre points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Le Havre
Le Havre's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Le Havre win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Lorient remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Le Havre win
Latest market chance 31.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.1% → 31.5%
−2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.6%
+0.3 pts
Lorient win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 39.9%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Le Havre
Draw
Lorient
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Le HavreLorient
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
12th
9
Games Played
9
0.22
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
0.78
2.22
Conceded/Game
0.89
16.7
Shots/Game
10.0
5.0
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Le Havre at home (6 matches) vs Lorient away (5 matches)
0.17
Points/Game
1.60
0.50
Goals/Game
0.80
2.17
Conceded/Game
0.40
0%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Le Havre
Home form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lorient
Away form
W
D
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Le Havre Wins
2
Draws
3
Lorient Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
Lorient0 – 2Le Havre
Le Havre1 – 1Lorient
Lorient3 – 3Le Havre
Le Havre3 – 0Lorient
Le Havre2 – 2Lorient
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Le Havrevs
Lorient
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.70
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 47.3%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 53.3%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?