Le Havre vs Auxerre Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Océane
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.21
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Le Havre
Auxerre
40'
⚽ Danny Namaso (Kevin Danois)
43'
🟨 Clément Akpa
50'
🟨 Naouirou Ahamada
M. Ndiaye 🟨
54'
61'
⚽ Danny Namaso (Romain Faivre)
Rayan Fofana (Hakim Dongopandji) ⚽
66'
80'
⚽ Romain Faivre (Danny Namaso)
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
22
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Le Havre (4-3-3)
G. Gallon
D. Ouziad
J. Mwanga
A. Touba
M. Ndiaye
R. Ndiaye
S. Ebonog
A. Richardson
S. Nakamura
J. Maja
M. Samatta
Auxerre (3-4-2-1)
P. Nardi
C. Makosso
A. Tuanzebe
C. Akpa
L. Sy
N. Ahamada
K. Danois
F. Oppegård
R. Faivre
D. Namaso
C. Archer
Player Ratings ?
Le Havre
R. FofanaF7.0
Hakim DongopandjiNone6.8
J. MwangaD6.7
Auxerre
D. NamasoM9.3
R. FaivreM9.0
P. NardiG8.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Le Havre edge defence and head-to-head, Auxerre edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Auxerre slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Le Havre stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Auxerre have managed just one away win in their last five outings across seasons, while Le Havre remain winless at home with three defeats from five matches. Le Havre have scored in two of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that same sample. The hosts face six confirmed absences and one doubtful concern, whereas Auxerre deal with four certain outcasts alongside four further players under doubt. Auxerre rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Le Havre rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 5 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Le Havre's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points, while Auxerre's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Auxerre losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Le Havre points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Le Havre
Le Havre's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Le Havre win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Le Havre win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
39.1% → 40.8%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.1%
±0.0 pts
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 31.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.8% → 31.1%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Le Havre
Draw
Auxerre
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Le HavreAuxerre
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
16.7
Shots/Game
11.1
5.0
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Le Havre at home (6 matches) vs Auxerre away (6 matches)
0.17
Points/Game
0.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
2.17
Conceded/Game
3.83
0%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Le Havre
Home form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Auxerre
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Le Havre Wins
3
Draws
1
Auxerre Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Le Havre1 – 1Auxerre
Auxerre0 – 1Le Havre
Auxerre1 – 2Le Havre
Le Havre3 – 1Auxerre
Le Havre1 – 2Auxerre
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Le Havrevs
Auxerre
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 55.2%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Le Havre's 10 matches and 4 of Auxerre's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?