Brest vs Nice Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.27
Draw
3.39
Away Win
3.35
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Brest
Nice
Ludovic Ajorque ⚽
15'
58'
🟨 Hamza Koutoune
61'
⚽ Sepe Elye Wahi (Mohamed Amoura)
Kamory Doumbia 🟨
62'
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
64'
68'
🟨 Sepe Elye Wahi
Bradley Locko 🟨
71'
83'
⚽ Sofiane Diop (Sepe Elye Wahi)
85'
🟨 Yehvann Diouf
90'
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
90+1'
🟨 Olivier Pantaloni
90+8'
🟨 Isak Jansson
Kenny Lala •
90+10'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
7
14
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Brest (4-2-3-1)
E. Selvik
K. Lala
L. Tousart
G. Lloris
B. Locko
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
Mama Baldé
K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Y. Diouf
A. Seidu
Y. Ndayishimiye
Mohamed Abdelmonem
J. Clauss
A. Witsel
H. Boudaoui
N. Nkounkou
G. Hein
M. Amoura
E. Wahi
Player Ratings ?
Brest
L. AjorqueF7.8
K. LalaD7.2
H. MagnettiM6.7
Nice
E. WahiF8.2
S. DiopM7.6
Y. DioufG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Brest edge attack, Nice edge head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Brest stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nice slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nice have struggled on their travels with just a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while Brest have managed one win and two draws in their corresponding home outings over the same span. Brest have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that identical recent sample. The hosts face two confirmed absences and one player under doubt, whereas Nice are dealing with four confirmed outcasts from their squad. Brest rate stronger on attack, while Nice hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 11-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 11 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Brest win
Latest market chance 42.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.0% → 42.9%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.8%
+0.7 pts
Nice win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 29.2%
−0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
12 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Brest
Draw
Nice
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Brest
Nice
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
1.14
1.86
Goals/Game
0.86
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.29
16.0
Shots/Game
12.4
5.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Brest at home (5 matches) vs Nice away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.20
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.40
40%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Brest
Home form
L
D
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Nice
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Brest Wins
1
Draws
2
Nice Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-02-012025-2026
Nice2 – 2Brest
2025-09-202025-2026
Brest4 – 1Nice
2025-05-172024-2025
Nice6 – 0Brest
2024-11-022024-2025
Brest0 – 1Nice
2024-02-042023-2024
Brest0 – 0Nice
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Brest
vs
Nice
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 55.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 60.1%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Brest's 10 matches and 3 of Nice's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…