Brest vs Angers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.69
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Brest
Angers
Ludovic Ajorque (Hugo Magnetti) ⚽
9'
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
15'
Lucas Tousart (Joris Chotard) ⚽
17'
Kenny Lala ⚽ (P)
30'
Mama Baldé (Pathé Mboup) ⚽
45'
47'
⚽ Prosper Peter (Joseph Kalulu)
Pathé Mboup (Ludovic Ajorque) ⚽
54'
59'
🟥 Jordan Lefort
87'
🟨 Branco Van den Boomen
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
19
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
5
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Brest (4-2-3-1)
E. Selvik
K. Lala
L. Tousart
G. Lloris
B. Locko
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
Mama Baldé
K. Doumbia
P. Mboup
L. Ajorque
Angers (4-3-3)
Anthony Lopes
Marius Louër
O. Camara
J. Lefort
J. Kalulu
Y. Belkhdim
H. Belkebla
B. van den Boomen
J. Allevinah
P. Peter
A. Sbaï
Player Ratings ?
Brest
P. MboupM8.4
L. TousartD8.3
L. AjorqueF8.2
Angers
P. PeterF7.7
E. BiumlaM6.6
B. van den BoomenM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Brest edge attack and head-to-head, Angers edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Angers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brest stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Angers have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Brest's home record over the same span shows three draws alongside two defeats. Brest have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Brest face potential disruption with three players out and one doubtful, whereas Angers have no confirmed absences though one player remains questionable. Angers rate stronger on form, while Brest rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Brest's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Angers's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
56%
Angers yellow cards after 75'
3
Brest points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Brest
Brest's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Brest win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Brest win
Latest market chance 47.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
49.0% → 47.5%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 26.3%
+0.5 pts
Angers win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.1% → 26.2%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Brest
Draw
Angers
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BrestAngers
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.0
Shots/Game
12.4
5.7
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Brest at home (5 matches) vs Angers away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.80
2.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Brest
Home form
D
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Angers
Away form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Brest Wins
3
Draws
1
Angers Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Brest1 – 1Angers
Angers0 – 2Brest
Brest2 – 0Angers
Angers2 – 0Brest
Brest4 – 0Angers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Brestvs
Angers
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 53.9%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 56.4%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Brest's 10 matches and 5 of Angers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?