Auxerre vs Paris FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.31
Draw
4.05
Away Win
1.81
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Auxerre
Paris FC
15'
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
Cameron Archer 🟨
15'
Sinaly Diomande 🟨
16'
63'
⚽ Lassine Sinayoko (Pablo Pagis)
William Still 🟨
80'
Kevin Danois 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
5
24
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Auxerre (4-3-3)
P. Nardi
M. Senaya
A. Tuanzebe
S. Diomandé
T. Siwe
N. Ahamada
P. Ekwah
F. Oppegård
R. Faivre
C. Archer
D. Namaso
Paris FC (3-4-2-1)
K. Trapp
H. Traoré
D. Coppola
Otávio
R. Matondo
M. Lopez
P. Lees-Melou
M. Simon
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
L. Sinayoko
Player Ratings ?
Auxerre
R. FaivreF7.0
M. SenayaD6.8
A. TuanzebeD6.8
Paris FC
L. SinayokoF7.7
P. PagisM7.7
OtávioD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Auxerre edge head-to-head, Paris FC edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Auxerre stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Paris FC arrive at Auxerre with a mixed away record of one win and one draw from their last five outings, while hosts Auxerre boast three victories and a solitary defeat in the same span at home. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that period. Paris FC rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Auxerre rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Auxerre's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points, while Paris FC's implied win probability has risen by 5.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Paris FC
Paris FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris FC win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Auxerre win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
26.6% → 22.4%
−4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.1% → 24.3%
−0.8 pts
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 53.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
48.3% → 53.3%
+5.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Auxerre
Draw
Paris FC
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AuxerreParis FC
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
1.89
1.44
Goals/Game
1.78
2.56
Conceded/Game
1.11
11.1
Shots/Game
13.5
4.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Auxerre at home (5 matches) vs Paris FC away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.40
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
40%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Auxerre
Home form
W
L
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Paris FC
Away form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Auxerre Wins
2
Draws
2
Paris FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Auxerre0 – 0Paris FC
Paris FC1 – 1Auxerre
Auxerre2 – 0Paris FC
Paris FC0 – 2Auxerre
Auxerre1 – 2Paris FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Auxerrevs
Paris FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.80
Goals conceded / game
1.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 55.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 56.4%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Paris FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?