Angers vs Marseille Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Raymond Kopa
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.82
Draw
3.84
Away Win
1.97
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 5
Match Events ?
Angers
Marseille
Lillian Rao-Lisoa ⚽
14'
37'
⚽ Himad Abdelli (Timothy Weah)
43'
⚽ Nouhoum Kamissoko (Emerson Palmieri)
59'
• Amine Gouiri
60'
⚽ Amine Gouiri
Emmanuel Biumla 🟨
68'
74'
🟨 Tochukwu Nnadi
Amine El Ouazzani ⚽ (P)
75'
83'
⚽ Amine Harit (Tochukwu Nnadi)
85'
⚽ Igor Paixão (Timothy Weah)
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
21
3
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Angers (4-2-3-1)
Anthony Lopes
C. Arcus
E. Biumla
M. Gernigon
L. Rao-Lisoa
Y. Belkhdim
B. van den Boomen
J. Allevinah
L. Mouton
A. Sbaï
A. El Ouazzani
Marseille (4-2-3-1)
J. de Lange
T. Weah
C. Egan-Riley
G. Kondogbia
Emerson
Nouhoum Kamissoko
T. Nnadi
A. Harit
H. Abdelli
Igor Paixão
A. Gouiri
Player Ratings ?
Angers
A. El OuazzaniF6.8
L. Rao-LisoaD6.8
P. PeterF6.6
Marseille
T. WeahD8.2
H. AbdelliM8.2
Nouhoum KamissokoNone8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Marseille edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Marseille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Marseille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Marseille have secured two away victories in their last five outings, while Angers have managed just one win and one draw from their home matches over the same span. Angers have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that period. Three Angers players are listed as doubtful for selection, whereas Marseille face the absence of one squad member ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture. Marseille rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack. Marseille won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 17 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Angers's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Angers's implied win probability has fallen by 4.6 percentage points, while Marseille's implied win probability has risen by 5.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Marseille losing run
60%
Angers yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Marseille
Marseille's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Marseille win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Angers win
Latest market chance 26.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
30.7% → 26.1%
−4.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 25.5%
−0.7 pts
Marseille win
Latest market chance 48.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
43.1% → 48.4%
+5.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Angers
Draw
Marseille
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AngersMarseille
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.00
1.17
Goals/Game
1.50
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
12.4
Shots/Game
13.2
3.2
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Angers at home (6 matches) vs Marseille away (5 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.80
0.83
Goals/Game
1.80
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.20
17%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Angers
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Marseille
Away form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Angers Wins
0
Draws
2
Marseille Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
Angers2 – 5Marseille
Marseille2 – 2Angers
Angers0 – 2Marseille
Marseille1 – 1Angers
Marseille3 – 1Angers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Angersvs
Marseille
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.6%→Latest 60.6%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Angers's 10 matches and 4 of Marseille's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?