York vs Port Vale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.58
Away Win
3.66
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
York
Port Vale
Zak Johnson (Alex Hunt) ⚽
54'
Alex Hunt ⚽
61'
84'
🟨 Kyle Dempsey
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
York (3-4-2-1)
Alfie Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
J. Hunt
A. Hunt
O. Banks
H. Boyes
A. Read
F. Maguire
O. Pearce
Port Vale (3-5-2)
M. Maroši
C. Humphreys
J. Moon
K. John
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey
R. Walters
G. Byers
J. Headley
O. Lynch
K. Figueroa
Player Ratings ?
York
A. HuntM9.0
Z. JohnsonD8.4
Alfie Shane McNallyG7.9
Port Vale
J. MoonD7.3
K. JohnD7.2
O. HernándezF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. York edge attack and defence, Port Vale edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
York stronger
HomeAway
Defence
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Port Vale stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Port Vale arrive at this League Two fixture having endured a difficult run away from home with just one draw and four losses in their last five outings, while York look far more secure in front of their own fans with three wins and two draws without defeat in their last five matches. York have found the net in every one of their last five home games but have managed to keep a clean sheet on only two occasions from that same stretch. York rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Port Vale rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2013. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
York win
Latest market chance 47.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.2% → 47.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.7%
±0.0 pts
Port Vale win
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.1%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
York
Draw
Port Vale
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
YorkPort Vale
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
20th
11
Games Played
10
1.55
Points/Game
1.20
1.73
Goals/Game
0.60
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.6
Shots/Game
11.2
4.4
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
York at home (7 matches) vs Port Vale away (6 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
0.17
2.29
Goals/Game
0.33
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.83
71%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
York
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Port Vale
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
York Wins
1
Draws
1
Port Vale Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.5
York0 – 2Port Vale
Port Vale2 – 2York
Port Vale2 – 1York
York1 – 0Port Vale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Yorkvs
Port Vale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 51.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?