York vs Accrington Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
4.00
Away Win
4.52
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
York
Accrington
14'
🟨 Donald Love
Jack Hunt 🟨
55'
61'
⚽ Josh Woods (Stefan Mols)
Arthur Read 🟨
81'
82'
🟨 Aidan borland
87'
🟨 Stefan Mols
Ollie Pearce (Arthur Read) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
7
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
York (3-4-2-1)
Alfie Shane McNally
J. Hunt
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
J. King
A. Hunt
O. Banks
H. Boyes
J. Grey
A. Newby
O. Pearce
Accrington (3-4-1-2)
L. Moulden
D. Love
D. Matthews
J. Anderson
C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols
Aidan Borland
D. Tutonda
T. Walton
C. Warren
J. Woods
Player Ratings ?
York
O. PearceF7.9
H. BoyesM7.1
M. KitchingD7.0
Accrington
J. WoodsF7.8
Stefan MolsM7.7
L. MouldenG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. York edge recent form, attack and defence, Accrington edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
York stronger
HomeAway
Defence
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Accrington stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
York have enjoyed a perfect run at home with four wins and no defeats in their last five outings, while Accrington have struggled away from home with just two draws and three losses in the same span. York have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical sample period. York rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while Accrington rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2016. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
York win
Latest market chance 55.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.8% → 55.2%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.9%
+0.6 pts
Accrington win
Latest market chance 20.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.9% → 20.9%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
York
Draw
Accrington
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
YorkAccrington
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
11
1.60
Points/Game
1.27
1.80
Goals/Game
1.45
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.36
14.6
Shots/Game
15.4
4.4
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
York at home (7 matches) vs Accrington away (7 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
0.86
2.29
Goals/Game
1.43
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.29
71%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
York
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Accrington
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
York Wins
1
Draws
2
Accrington Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Accrington3 – 0York
York1 – 5Accrington
Accrington2 – 2York
York1 – 0Accrington
York1 – 1Accrington
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Yorkvs
Accrington
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 56.1%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 56.5%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?