Walsall vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Bescot Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.81
Draw
3.45
Away Win
2.30
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Walsall edge head-to-head, Barnet edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barnet have enjoyed an encouraging run on the road with two wins and three draws from their last five away fixtures, while Walsall sit at home with three victories alongside one draw and a single defeat in that same span. The Saddlers have found the net in four of their last five outings at home but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Barnet rate stronger on form, while Walsall rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Barnet won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 7 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Walsall's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Walsall's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points, while Barnet's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Walsall
Walsall's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Walsall win as less likely than it did 11 days ago. Barnet remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Walsall win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.7% → 32.9%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.7%
+0.3 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 40.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.8% → 40.4%
+1.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
11 snapshots
+2+10−1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Walsall
Draw
Barnet
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Walsall
Barnet
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
2nd
13
Games Played
13
1.69
Points/Game
2.00
1.62
Goals/Game
2.15
0.92
Conceded/Game
1.38
14.8
Shots/Game
15.5
4.6
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Walsall at home (6 matches) vs Barnet away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
2.00
1.67
Goals/Game
2.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Walsall
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Walsall Wins
3
Draws
1
Barnet Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
2026-02-072025-2026
Walsall1 – 3Barnet
2025-08-162025-2026
Barnet1 – 2Walsall
2007-02-242006-2007
Walsall4 – 1Barnet
2006-09-022006-2007
Barnet1 – 1Walsall
1995-04-171994-1995
Barnet1 – 3Walsall
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Walsall
vs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 60.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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