Tranmere vs Rochdale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Prenton Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.70
Away Win
3.77
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Tranmere
Rochdale
Tom Conlon (Will Vaulks) ⚽
15'
57'
⚽ Dajaune Brown (Charlie Tasker)
90+1'
🟨 Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
15
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
H. Male
J. Senior
N. Smith
G. Nevett
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
David Kamara
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
D. Jones
Rochdale (4-2-3-1)
Nils Ramming
O. Adebayo-Rowling
A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson
C. Tasker
H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko
C. Hayes
Kane Taylor
G. Middleton
D. Brown
Player Ratings ?
Tranmere
T. ConlonM8.2
J. SlaterD7.3
W. VaulksM7.2
Rochdale
D. BrownF7.8
Nils RammingG7.0
C. TaskerD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tranmere edge attack, Rochdale edge recent form, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere have remained unbeaten in their last five home outings with two wins and three draws, while Rochdale's away record over the same span shows just one victory alongside two stalemates and two defeats. At home, Tranmere have found the net in all five of their recent matches yet have only secured two clean sheets during that identical period. Rochdale rate stronger on form, while Tranmere rate stronger on attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2023, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Tranmere's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points, while Rochdale's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
45%
Tranmere yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Rochdale
Rochdale's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rochdale win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Tranmere remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 47.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.9% → 47.6%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.6%
+0.1 pts
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.6% → 25.8%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tranmere
Draw
Rochdale
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TranmereRochdale
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
11th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.44
1.33
Goals/Game
1.11
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.22
11.8
Shots/Game
9.6
4.4
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Tranmere at home (7 matches) vs Rochdale away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.71
1.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.86
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tranmere
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rochdale
Away form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tranmere Wins
1
Draws
2
Rochdale Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Rochdale2 – 2Tranmere
Tranmere1 – 1Rochdale
Tranmere2 – 0Rochdale
Rochdale1 – 0Tranmere
Tranmere2 – 3Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tranmerevs
Rochdale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 50.1%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 53.9%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Tranmere's 10 matches and 1 of Rochdale's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?