Tranmere vs Cheltenham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Prenton Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
3.74
Away Win
3.87
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Tranmere
Cheltenham
1'
⚽ Charlie McCann (Jake Evans)
dylan jones (Jacob Slater) ⚽
23'
32'
🟨 Jake Evans
dylan jones ⚽
39'
Jordan Turnbull 🟨
45+1'
Charlie Jay Whitaker (Thomas Ince) ⚽
45+3'
Tom Conlon 🟨
60'
78'
🟨 Jonathan Tomkinson
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
17
Total Shots
10
9
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
8
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
L. McGee
J. Senior
B. Faulkner
J. Turnbull
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
D. Jones
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Cheltenham (4-2-3-1)
W. Stanway
J. Tomkinson
P. Sweeney
J. Wilson
J. Shipley
S. McWilliams
B. Stevenson
J. Evans
C. McCann
R. Broom
A. Weimann
Player Ratings ?
Tranmere
D. JonesM9.1
Charlie Jay WhitakerM8.0
T. InceM7.2
Cheltenham
C. McCannM7.5
W. StanwayG7.0
J. EvansM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tranmere edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Cheltenham edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cheltenham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cheltenham have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Tranmere have secured a single win alongside three draws in their home matches over the same span. Tranmere have scored in every one of their last five home matches, though they have kept just a single clean sheet during that identical period. Cheltenham rate stronger on form, while Tranmere rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Tranmere won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 21 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Cheltenham's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 50.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.2% → 50.4%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.5%
±0.0 pts
Cheltenham win
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.1%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tranmere
Draw
Cheltenham
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TranmereCheltenham
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
3rd
13
Games Played
13
1.23
Points/Game
1.62
1.23
Goals/Game
1.69
1.23
Conceded/Game
1.69
11.8
Shots/Game
8.9
4.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Tranmere at home (7 matches) vs Cheltenham away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.71
1.71
Goals/Game
1.29
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.14
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tranmere
Home form
D
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cheltenham
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tranmere Wins
3
Draws
0
Cheltenham Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Cheltenham1 – 3Tranmere
Tranmere3 – 2Cheltenham
Tranmere2 – 0Cheltenham
Cheltenham1 – 0Tranmere
Cheltenham4 – 0Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tranmerevs
Cheltenham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 53.4%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 57.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?