Tranmere vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Prenton Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.53
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.03
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Tranmere
Barnet
20'
🟨 Zac Williams
Will Vaulks (Charlie Jay Whitaker) ⚽
22'
Joel Senior 🟨
51'
55'
⚽ Kabongo Tshimanga
70'
🟨 Idris Kanu
Will Vaulks 🟨
71'
87'
⚽ (P) Kabongo Tshimanga
Joel Senior 🟥
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
6
15
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
H. Male
J. Senior
N. Smith
G. Nevett
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
D. Jones
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
N. Tavares
Z. Williams
O. Gallagher
B. Comley
T. Knowles
C. Lakin
I. Kanu
K. Tshimanga
Player Ratings ?
Tranmere
Charlie Jay WhitakerM7.0
W. VaulksM6.7
J. IronsideF6.4
Barnet
K. TshimangaF8.2
N. OfoborhM6.9
T. KnowlesM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barnet
Barnet rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Tranmere edge defence, giving Barnet a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barnet arrive with an impressive away record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Tranmere have kept clean sheets in two of their unbeaten home run over the same period. Tranmere have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have managed just two clean sheets during that identical span. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Tranmere hold a slight advantage in defence. Barnet won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 27 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Tranmere's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Barnet a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 27.6%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.0%
−0.1 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.0% → 46.3%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tranmere
Draw
Barnet
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TranmereBarnet
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
2nd
10
Games Played
8
1.20
Points/Game
2.25
1.30
Goals/Game
2.50
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.38
11.8
Shots/Game
15.5
4.4
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Tranmere at home (7 matches) vs Barnet away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.00
1.71
Goals/Game
2.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
43%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tranmere
Home form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tranmere Wins
0
Draws
0
Barnet Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.5
Barnet1 – 0Tranmere
Tranmere0 – 2Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tranmerevs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 56.0%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 58.7%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Barnet's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?